Saturday, July 30, 2005

Manny

New York Post Online Edition: sports

A $19 MM per year for three years OF liability in the NL?

And I thought pursuing Delgado to play 1B was a poor decision from a defense standpoint.

I know Minaya recognizes the marketing possibilities of Latin players, but, dude, there are tons and tons and tons of Latin players. There is no need to grab a headline one who isn't a good fit. (And despite Beltran's season so far, he was a great signing.)

Soriano would be a much better fit. And worst case, you let him walk after 2006, and the Mets will have paid him less than Manny would have gotten through 2006.

From a Roto perspective, a max FAAB bid on Manny is a no-brainer.

The rest is unconfirmable, but any starting player with Roto skills merits a $15+ bid at this point.

Friday, July 29, 2005

Manny Ramirez

New York Post Online Edition: sports

This may be missed amongst all the hoopla of trades this weekend.

Larry Lucchino told WEEI that this is the 4th straight year Manny has requested a trade. 4th?!?!?! This is only his 5th in Beantown!

If only other players could play so well in unhappy circumstances. (See Kevin Brown, Jeff Weaver, Javier Vasquez)

Chacon

I like the deal for the Yanks because Chacon is young and provides me more comfort than Leiter, Nomo and TBA.

The two pitchers they surrendered where a little old for AA and will never appear to be good if they pitch in Colorado.

Chacon throws across his body and that always concerns me, but other than that, a good deal for the Yanks.

This is the equivalent of dealing a minor leaguer like Ryan Sweeney for Orlando Cabrera. Almost no risk on your part as Sweeney may never reach the majors and Cabrera could contribute across the board this season and will retain value next season.

(Where has Sweeney's power gone? Not that he had a lot but zero HRs this year?)

Soriano

Dan Graziano of the Star-Ledger in Newark, NJ, reports the Mets and Rangers are close to a Cameron/Milledge/top pitching prospect for Soriano and Adrian Gonzalez.

That would be an incredible Rotisserie deal! Soriano is a max FAAB player, and Gonzlaez has definite 2006 value and would be a solid $15-$20 bid if he is added to the MEts roster.

Cameron would also merit a large FAAB bid as his SB and move to a hitter-friendly park would be more than offset the his negative AVG.

Milledge would become a 1st round draft pick next year. The pitching prospect may, too, but I would be extremely wary of drafting Texas minor leaguers. (See Mario Ramos.)

As for the effect on the real baseball league, the Mets get a power bat, a major-league starting B and a cheap 1B. The Rangers get a 7-day a week OF and a top OF prospect who may be a a seven-day-a-week one and another arm to parade out to the mound for the typical shelllacking.

Extra Innings

Before turining off the TV and going to sleep, I check the scroll on ESPN2 for the scores.

When I saw the Jays and Angels tied at 1 in the 15th, I immediately hoped Aaron Hill wasn't playing because such a low score had all the makings of a 1-6, 1-7, 1-8 night.

I wish, Hill was 0-6.

If I had had a midle reliver on either team or that night's starting pitcher, then I'd have had the opposite reaction as I'd have likely gotten an inning or two of no ER.

Unless of course I was in one of those runs where everything was going wrong. Then I'd have had the reliever who gave up the one run.

Thursday, July 28, 2005

Yahoo! Sports - MLB - Jeff Francoeur

Yahoo! Sports - MLB - Jeff Francoeur

Where are the bases-on-balls?

Jim Thome

Philadelphia Inquirer | 07/28/2005 | Phillies Notes | Manuel wants move before trade deadline

There is no doubt Ryan Howard is not available in any league worth a can of Morton's Salt, and that is only $0.99!

Howard is going to make Thome a constant trade rumor through next season.

Maybe Baltimore can deal Ponson for him?


New York Post Online Edition: sports

New York Post Online Edition: sports

To quote:
"He (Nats GM Jim Bowden) is the knight in the Black Forrest in the Monty Python movie without any arms or legs challenging someone to fight," an AL executive said."

That kind of wit leads me to think this unnamed AL executive would make an interesting blogger. I don't think he is because he could have easily found out that it is the Black Knight

Mets working hard to get Soriano

Mets working hard to get Soriano

Aaron Heilman is the sticking point????? He went back to his old delivery and has been much more effective. but isn't the fact that the Mets wanted to risk breaking what was not broken (his old delivery) a red flag?

Is is possible the Mets thought Heilman would injure his arm with his older mechanics?

And I am not saying this in order to preserve my desire to be a magnificent prognosticator!

Tuesday, July 26, 2005

New York Post Online Edition: sports

New York Post Online Edition: sports

A few comments after spending this morning surfing the 'net for trade rumors.

Soriano is arbitration-eligible. I had labored under the assumption he was a free agent as have a couple people I have spoke with. The fact that whichever major league club has him controls him for 2006 changes his already-great trade value immensely.

If any team deals a top prospect, it does not have to worry about Soriano walking at this season's-end.

Is he worth Mike Cameron, Lastings Milledge and another top prospect? Maybe not, but he is certainly a rarer commodity than an OF. In another article, sources say Jose Reyes is the one the Rangers opened negotiations with.

And how exactly, is he not a bargain at a $10 million salary for 2006? Shouldn't any writer who opines otherwise be fired for gross incompetence, and his editor be fired for allowing that into the article?

Why does Pittsburgh think they can get Jeremy Hermida or Scott Olson for any of their pitchers not named Oliver Perez? Have the 13-year-olds who play Yahoo! fantasy baseball taken over the front offices of MLB? Did I miss the Acne Revolution on the front pages of the New York Times and Washington Post?

Eric Byrnes is too valuable to part with in Colorado? As if they don't have a couple handfuls of him plaing at a fraction of his salary. The bullshit is deep no argument there!

And finally, would Florida just take AJ Burnett and disappear? There are asking exhorbitant amounts for him. Do they really have to think about Brandon McCarthy and Damaso Marte for him? Don't they get afraid the Chisox will call there bluff and offer only one of them for the free-agent-to-be? I know I would, and I'd send them packing with a couple m*****f*****s to boot.




Nevin rejects trade to Orioles - baltimoresun.com

Nevin rejects trade to Orioles - baltimoresun.com

Why do the Padres insist on trading Nevin to teams on his no-trade list? First the Reds a couple years ago and now the Orioles.

And to show there is no good guys here, Nevin lets his agent tell the press he wouldn't be happy as a back-up.

Didn't he consider the consequences of exercising his contractual right? He must know the Padres do not want him. Didn't he make the decision knowing he'd be stuck in a crappy environment?

He deserves admiration for putting his family first, but none for acting as if that doesn't come with a cost - a crappy work place.

Monday, July 25, 2005

Source: Nevin Likely Will Accept Deal

Source: Nevin Likely Will Accept Deal

This looks like a classic my-shit-for-your-shit deal.

Ponson is Bartolo Colon minus the production. ( Although any person who lives in Aruba and gets fatter while there will always have my admiration.)

Nevin has morphed into a Petco-intimated girlyman.

The question is which one is worth anything. Nevin's production should increase with the change in ballparks. I'd grab him if there is an opening on your roster, but if you'd have to waive an Emil Brown for him, preserve your FAAB and wait for something better.

Ponson may be worth a flyer given the pitcher-friendly confines of Petco and the fact Big Sid will get to face the pitcher after every 8th hitter. My guess is he pitches a gem while on no ones team and then throws a stinker after a team successfully acquires him.

I'm staying away becuase I'd need to waive Kent Mercker. Use that as a gauge at how valuable I think Ponson will be. (I also anticipate Matt Cain being recalled and have nowhere else but Mercker's spot to activate him into.)

New York Daily News - Baseball - 'Sori' situation heats up

New York Daily News - Baseball - 'Sori' situation heats up

Makes sense as I've already commented.

That Texas is asking for Milledge seems fair given the opening of negotiations, but the Rangers can land quite a few excess arms from the Mets.

I'd comment on whether Milledge is the type of player Buck likes, but there is little chance that Buck's welcome won't have worn out by the time Milledge is ready for regular PT (2007).

Saturday, July 23, 2005

Robinson Cano

Yanks' Cano Playing as if He Belongs - New York Times

A very flattering article on Cano. If you like that sort of article, it is a nice read. Generally, I do not, but I am still in shock he went for $23 in my AL league, and now, I am beginning to accept that he will be an easy keeper (in a homer Yankee league) at that price. With that background, I read it.

Cano had gone undrafted in our minor league draft only a month earlier - partly due to lack of ability of the teams in the league and partly due to the unlikelihood the Yanks would not trade him after signing Tony Womack for two years. Even I passed him in favor of Elijah Dukes and Chris Young. And after a 2-23 start, I gave that decision no additional thought.

While Dukes and Young have done nothing to lead me to conclude I made a mistake, I do have some regrets in not recognizing a $20+ player. Now, I do not believe Cano is a $20+ player, but I accept others do. I am not adverse to participating in "greater fool" valuations. If another team will buy Cano at $23 then I can use a $23 Cano to get something I deem underr-valued, and to use something over-valued to do it makes it only more satisfying.

That is what bothers me and what keeps me interested in following Cano.

FWIW, I see Cano as a $15 +/- $4 - the same price all starting middle infielders fetch.

Friday, July 22, 2005

Austin Kearns

2-4 tonight.

Trade for him! If you have held on to him then consider him a great two+ month acquistion.

He's going to make the panickers rue their decisions.

JRod

Post #5

He homered tonight. The Nate Ravitzes and Matt Watsons of the world would never include him in anything as they are focused on MLB universe leagues.

Not here! Get him! He homered tonight. Again.

Only mixed leagues and very shallow NL-onlys could avoid him at no detriment.

Jason Giambi

10 HR this month. He's back as all the "experts" now report.

I have persistently advised to stick with him and attempt to get him at his lows.

Now he will be unavaible at anything less than $20 in value. His OPS is over .900 post-steroids, and unlike Sammy Sosa or Pudge Rodriguez, he is not noticably smaller.

If anything, he has the look of someone who works out hard and is eating food to maintian that regimen. This means he's eating meat and dairy.

Justin Morneau

Justin Morneau : Rotoworld.com - Justin Morneau Biography from Rotoworld.com

Sending him to AAA would make the Rangers feel they are playing thier bizarro counterparts.

With desparation seeming to be the aspiration for the Twins, sending Morneau down is a move away from achieving that goal.

Thursday, July 21, 2005

JRod

Yahoo! Sports - MLB - Box Score

Three posts on John Rodriguez? What's a 4th?

He finished today 1-4 with a walk.

Given Tony LaRussa's proclivity towards demonstrable genius, I expect the 27 year-old rookie to play.

More JRod

Yahoo! Sports - MLB - Box Score

Starting in CF and batting 2nd, So Taguchi and batting 6th and starting in RF, Hector Luna.

If JRod hits, there is no way he doesn't see 4+ starts per week.