Wednesday, May 25, 2005

Closers

Roto Times Fantasy Sports

With Tyler Walker having settled nicely into the SF closer's job, offers are starting to come in. As he was plucked from the pool, his current owners have nothing to lose by dealing him for a player considered of higher quality (def: higher quality = drafted and at full-value of $20+ or cheap but obviously would meet the first criteria.)

And to do so would not be a negative. What I would advise though is to examine the saves category. The one point I have not seen anywhere regarding the entire closer messes in the NL is that the current standings may have no relation to the ones at season's end. Why?

25-30 saves is likely leading the category right now. Look at some of the closers who are either hurt or have no chance of getting saves - Brazoban 11, Lyon 13, Graves 10. There are also many relievers with multiple saves such as Hawkins 4, Reyes 3 even Brian Bruney's 4 could be lumped here as he has walked 17 in 23 innings and may not be long for the job. Even Todd Jones with 7 will no longer ganrer 100% of the saves in Florida when Mota returns.

With those names in mind, look at the teams leading the category. Chances are very good that those teams have at least one of those closers, and possibly two.

If this is the case, then you must "adjust" the standings for the current closers on each team as the standings do not reflect where the saves will come from for those teams going forward!

And it is this advice that I have yet to see. Once done, you will have at your fingertips information the other teams in your league do not possess, and you can use this to your advantage.

Maybe you keep Walker as a result even if Luis Gonzalez is offered because you can gain several points versus what you won't gain without him.



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