Friday, September 30, 2005

Greg Maddux

His days as a high teens/ low twenties SP are over.

The only things keeping him at the level was reputation, WHIP and the solidity of 15 W.

The first and third are too much to overcome the second, and at 1.20, even that is not considered outstanding.

Based on his 2005 numbers (13 W, 4.18 ERA and 1.20 WHIP), I place his value in the low double digits. Anything more will be a reflection of reputation (that and a $.25 will get you a NYPost) and the hope that his WHIP will remain at 1.20 over 200 innings, but who would chance that after seeing the ERA rise the past three years and the W total decline?

No comments: