I pointed out Chicago White Sox 3B/OF Mark Teahen won't surprise me if he hits 20 HRs with his new team given his career efforts at Cellular Field. After listening to the hosannahs and wildly optimistic projections for the new Boston Red Sox 3B Adrian Beltre, I wanted to do the same.
A quick peek at Beltre's career efforts at Fenway Park show this to be a useless exercise. At 179/299/232, no projection would be useful. Worse, Beltre didn't play at Fenway in 2009 so his worst season doesn't even work to drag down his stats.
I don't expect any upside surprises in Beltre's 2010 season. 25 HRs, 80 RBIs and an AVG in the .260s is about right - assuming good health.
Showing posts with label Boston Red Sox. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Boston Red Sox. Show all posts
Wednesday, January 06, 2010
Saturday, December 19, 2009
MLB Trade Rumors: Matt Holliday To Boston Red Sox?
Derek Goold: Boston bid on Holliday? And other Baseball Beat Tweets | Cardinal Beat | STLtoday:
"Gammons, the Hall of Fame baseball writer, tweets:
Boston ecstatic with Lackey. Before he stepped foward, Sox offered 4x$15M to Bay and 5x$16.5 to Holliday.
Olney, a senior writer at ESPN Magazine, follows with his tweet:
Heard this: Before the Red Sox signed Lackey for $82.5 million, they offered $82.5 million to Holliday. Now they’re out on Holliday.
The search for the “mystery team” bidding on Holliday continues, with some indications that there is actually a second team courting the free-agent outfielder."
No way, no how Matt Holliday goes off the board around $80 MM. If so expect the New York Yankees to feel obligated to top that bid the same way you'd top a $15 bid for Derek Jeter in an AL-Only auction league. Just too good a value.
"Gammons, the Hall of Fame baseball writer, tweets:
Boston ecstatic with Lackey. Before he stepped foward, Sox offered 4x$15M to Bay and 5x$16.5 to Holliday.
Olney, a senior writer at ESPN Magazine, follows with his tweet:
Heard this: Before the Red Sox signed Lackey for $82.5 million, they offered $82.5 million to Holliday. Now they’re out on Holliday.
The search for the “mystery team” bidding on Holliday continues, with some indications that there is actually a second team courting the free-agent outfielder."
No way, no how Matt Holliday goes off the board around $80 MM. If so expect the New York Yankees to feel obligated to top that bid the same way you'd top a $15 bid for Derek Jeter in an AL-Only auction league. Just too good a value.
Wednesday, December 16, 2009
MLB Trade Rumors: Boston Red Sox & Adrian Gonzalez
John Perrotto of Baseball Prospectus reports:
"The Red Sox are again pursuing Padres first baseman Adrian Gonzalez in a trade, but they would have to give up right-hander Clay Buchholz and top pitching prospect Casey Kelly to make a deal."
Maybe it is the lack of prospect worship on my part, but I can't see how the Red Sox don't acquire AGonz at that price barring the fact the Red Sox have not shown the proclivity towards dealing their top prospects for elite major league talent.
"The Red Sox are again pursuing Padres first baseman Adrian Gonzalez in a trade, but they would have to give up right-hander Clay Buchholz and top pitching prospect Casey Kelly to make a deal."
Maybe it is the lack of prospect worship on my part, but I can't see how the Red Sox don't acquire AGonz at that price barring the fact the Red Sox have not shown the proclivity towards dealing their top prospects for elite major league talent.
Sunday, November 29, 2009
MLB Trade Rumors: Boston Red Sox SS
Lowe prefers not to be spun out of Braves’ rotation - The Boston Globe: "The Sox have inquired about Scutaro, and don’t rule out a deal with the Diamondbacks for Stephen Drew...."
The challenge with all rumors is whether or not the writer, Nick Cafardo in this case, is guessing or leaking out information he has gleened from club sources. If the Red Sox do acquire Stephen Drew, then the baseball writers glob praise on Theo Epstein and company in ways that would make the mainstream media coverage of Brack Obama look like a discussion between Rush Limbaugh and Barney Frank.
The challenge with all rumors is whether or not the writer, Nick Cafardo in this case, is guessing or leaking out information he has gleened from club sources. If the Red Sox do acquire Stephen Drew, then the baseball writers glob praise on Theo Epstein and company in ways that would make the mainstream media coverage of Brack Obama look like a discussion between Rush Limbaugh and Barney Frank.
Friday, November 27, 2009
MLB Trade Rumors: Roy Halladay To Boston Red Sox
Buster Olney: "In order for the Red Sox to trade for Halladay, they would almost certainly have to surrender Clay Buchholz and minor leaguer Casey Kelly... And Kelly...appears to have an excellent chance to have a high impact in the majors...."
I love dreaming about the upside of prospects as much as anyone, but worrying about a prospect who just finished A as a dual SS/SP seems like a jumping-the-shark moment on the value of prospects. If a 25-year-old Clay Buchholz and Casey Kelly is too much for one of the top pitchers in the game, then the Red Sox are not as smart as they are lauded to be.
Of course, the Sox probably know how irrational the prospect market is given they helped set it.
I love dreaming about the upside of prospects as much as anyone, but worrying about a prospect who just finished A as a dual SS/SP seems like a jumping-the-shark moment on the value of prospects. If a 25-year-old Clay Buchholz and Casey Kelly is too much for one of the top pitchers in the game, then the Red Sox are not as smart as they are lauded to be.
Of course, the Sox probably know how irrational the prospect market is given they helped set it.
Friday, November 06, 2009
Jeremy Hermida Trade Winners
Yesterday, the Florida Marlins moved disappointing OF Jeremy Hermida to the Boston Red Sox. The immediate effect is to save the Marlins money in the Hermida's 2nd arbitration-eligible off-season.
Nearly simultaneously, Hermida's value goes up on two fronts. He gets a P.R. reprieve by going to an organization in which the herd of sabre sychophants worship. Second, he gets to play after being benched in favor of rookie Chris Coughlin.
Assuming LF Jason Bay signs with another team, Hermida will get the chance to start in LF. A change of scenery and ABs makes Hermida a potential J.D. Drew type. In a seemingly barren fantasy outfield landscape, 20 HR and 70 RBI is rosterable.
For the Marlins, the question is who plays RF. The easy answer is Cody Ross, but he is also eligible for arbitration for the second time and would be lloking at a similar salary to that Hermida may have been granted.
Assuming Ross is also dealt for the same financial reason, look for the Marlins to rotate Coghlan, Emilio Bonifacio and a couple of older prospects like John Raynor and Scott Cousins through left and right field.
Nearly simultaneously, Hermida's value goes up on two fronts. He gets a P.R. reprieve by going to an organization in which the herd of sabre sychophants worship. Second, he gets to play after being benched in favor of rookie Chris Coughlin.
Assuming LF Jason Bay signs with another team, Hermida will get the chance to start in LF. A change of scenery and ABs makes Hermida a potential J.D. Drew type. In a seemingly barren fantasy outfield landscape, 20 HR and 70 RBI is rosterable.
For the Marlins, the question is who plays RF. The easy answer is Cody Ross, but he is also eligible for arbitration for the second time and would be lloking at a similar salary to that Hermida may have been granted.
Assuming Ross is also dealt for the same financial reason, look for the Marlins to rotate Coghlan, Emilio Bonifacio and a couple of older prospects like John Raynor and Scott Cousins through left and right field.
Wednesday, August 26, 2009
Fantasy Baseball : Buster Olney on Billy Wagner
Buster Olney Blog -- MLB -- Billy Wagner's pennant race and clouded future - ESPN:
"The bet here: Wagner will return to Boston for 2010, and the Red Sox will trade Jonathan Papelbon."
Wow. Buster Olney is out on a limb.
"The bet here: Wagner will return to Boston for 2010, and the Red Sox will trade Jonathan Papelbon."
Wow. Buster Olney is out on a limb.
Monday, August 24, 2009
Fantasy Baseball: Why I Love Him in 2010
Billy Wagner to Boston Red Sox: Nix option to seal deal - ESPN:
"Billy Wagner wants to be a closer next season, regardless of the team. That's why the New York Mets reliever says Boston must guarantee it will decline his contract option for 2010 before he would approve a potential trade to the Red Sox, who already have an All-Star closer in Jonathan Papelbon."
The team who had him in my NL-only was in the hospital for the birth of his 1st child at the trade deadline. In my AL-Only, I am willing to spend to get the chance at a 2010 closer on the cheap.
"Billy Wagner wants to be a closer next season, regardless of the team. That's why the New York Mets reliever says Boston must guarantee it will decline his contract option for 2010 before he would approve a potential trade to the Red Sox, who already have an All-Star closer in Jonathan Papelbon."
The team who had him in my NL-only was in the hospital for the birth of his 1st child at the trade deadline. In my AL-Only, I am willing to spend to get the chance at a 2010 closer on the cheap.
Wednesday, November 05, 2008
MLB Trade Rumors: Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox - Agent Boras pitches value of his client, Red Sox catcher Varitek - The Boston Globe:
"...it appears the Red Sox will talk with the Texas Rangers about their two young catchers, Taylor Teagarden and Jarrod Saltalamacchia, who could be in play if the Sox are willing to give up the right pitching prospect (likely Clay Buchholz or Michael Bowden)."
I can't see the Red Sox leaving their catching solely in the hands of Jason Varitek for more than two seasons. Because of that, the Red Sox will acquire a young, near-major-league/major-league ready backstop this off-season.
"...it appears the Red Sox will talk with the Texas Rangers about their two young catchers, Taylor Teagarden and Jarrod Saltalamacchia, who could be in play if the Sox are willing to give up the right pitching prospect (likely Clay Buchholz or Michael Bowden)."
I can't see the Red Sox leaving their catching solely in the hands of Jason Varitek for more than two seasons. Because of that, the Red Sox will acquire a young, near-major-league/major-league ready backstop this off-season.
Wednesday, July 02, 2008
MLB Trade Rumors: Boston Red Sox
From John Perrotto at Baseball Prospectus:
"The Red Sox are considering looking for bullpen help before the July 31 non-waiver trading deadline and the left-handed Fuentes is among the relievers they will likely try to deal for."
What do the Rockies need that the Red Sox can offer? jed Lowrie fits the bill but that seems incredibly high for a middle reliever.
"The Red Sox are considering looking for bullpen help before the July 31 non-waiver trading deadline and the left-handed Fuentes is among the relievers they will likely try to deal for."
What do the Rockies need that the Red Sox can offer? jed Lowrie fits the bill but that seems incredibly high for a middle reliever.
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