FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Football analysis and NFL stats for the Moneyball era - Authors of Football Outsiders Almanac 2009:
"The players listed for each team are one expected to rise, one expected to fall, and one to look out for, respectively.
Atlanta Falcons: Jerious Norwood, Matt Ryan, Stephen Nicholas
Carolina Panthers: Jeff Otah, DeAngelo Williams, Charles Johnson
New Orleans Saints: Pierre Thomas, Jeremy Shockey, Tracy Porter
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Kellen Winslow, Ronde Barber, Roy Miller
Houston Texans: Matt Schaub, Jacques Reeves, Xavier Adibi
Indianapolis Colts: Anthony Gonzalez, Jeff Saturday, Ed Johnson
Jacksonville Jaguars: David Garrard, Rob Meier, Torry Holt
Tennessee Titans: LenDale White, Cortland Finnegan, Jason Jones"
Showing posts with label Football Outsiders Almanac 2009. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Football Outsiders Almanac 2009. Show all posts
Thursday, September 03, 2009
Monday, August 10, 2009
Fantasy Football: Catch Rate As Key To Finding WR Sleepers
Yesterday, I quoted a comment about the Football Outsider Alamanac 2009 that took FO to task for failing to uncover predictive statistical info. This morning, this criticism seems premature.
One of the newer metrics being used in fantasy football analysis is catch rate - the number of receptions a receiver has as a percent of his total targets. What FO has found is the right place to place the blame for low and high catch rates.
FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Football analysis and NFL stats for the Moneyball era - Authors of Football Outsiders Almanac 2009:
Catch rate has more to do with team- and quarterback-related variables than it does with the 'hands' of a wide receiver.
Acquiring a player because he had a good catch rate or +/- in a particular scheme does not mean that he's likely to perform as well in your scheme.
If a player has a +/- far better or worse than the players around him, though, you should expect some of that ability (or lack thereof) to stick in a new spot.
One of the newer metrics being used in fantasy football analysis is catch rate - the number of receptions a receiver has as a percent of his total targets. What FO has found is the right place to place the blame for low and high catch rates.
FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Football analysis and NFL stats for the Moneyball era - Authors of Football Outsiders Almanac 2009:
Catch rate has more to do with team- and quarterback-related variables than it does with the 'hands' of a wide receiver.
Acquiring a player because he had a good catch rate or +/- in a particular scheme does not mean that he's likely to perform as well in your scheme.
If a player has a +/- far better or worse than the players around him, though, you should expect some of that ability (or lack thereof) to stick in a new spot.
Sunday, August 09, 2009
Football Outsiders Almanac 2009 Too Harsh?
Amazon.com: Anodyne115's review of Football Outsiders Almanac 2009: The Essen...:
"Unfortunately, their statistical approach has not succeeded in actually producing anything that really helps analyze a game, team, or a particular matchup."
Any thoughts?
"Unfortunately, their statistical approach has not succeeded in actually producing anything that really helps analyze a game, team, or a particular matchup."
Any thoughts?
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