Sunday, July 08, 2007

Day 97

Notes from yesterday:

A's "ace" Rich Harden pitched an ugly 2 2/3s inning yesterday and reported not feeling right. His 2007 fantasy trade value is essentially nil.

*

White Sox ace Mark Buerhle, OTOH, dramatically increased his value by hurling a sixth consecutive gem whilst under the pressure of a very public contract squabble.

Saturday, July 07, 2007

Day 96

Notes from yesterday:

Am I the only fantasy player who sees a 20-14 score and immediately runs through my rosters to make sure I have no pitchers on either team? And if I do, to rush in a panic to check the boxscore and hope none of my pitchers made an appearance?

Am I the only fantasy player who sees a 20-14 score and immediately fears my hitter is the one who didn't get a hit or drive in a run a la Michael Cuddyer?

Friday, July 06, 2007

Day 95

Notes from yesterday:

Reports say Devil Rays closer Al Reyes is already feeling better. That is good news for a team hoping to learn what win #71 is all about. Fill-in closer Gary Glover put three men on-bas in one inning of mop-up work.

Thursday, July 05, 2007

Day 94

Notes from yesterday:

Al Reyes is on the D.L., and Gary Glover is reported to be the first in line. Other than this, there hasn't been a lot of churn in the closer roles lately. With nthe trading deadline 26 days away, I suspect this will not continue.

Wednesday, July 04, 2007

Day 93

Notes from yesterday:

Joe Blanton won his 9th game and dropped his ERA to 3.04. He is not amongst the sexier names for the 2007 CY Young, but if he plays the turtle to everyone else's hare, he may make a surprisingly good showing.

*

Amazingly, the Rangers are winning more than their line-up of 4th OFers and back-up infielders would lead one to believe. Unfortunately, they are further away from the opportunity to select 3B Pedro Alvarez in next year's draft. Tampa Bay, Washington and Cincinnati are worse, and San Francisco and Kansas City are closing fast.

Tuesday, July 03, 2007

Day 92

Notes from yesterday:

Imagine if ARod misses a couple weeks with a hamstring injury. The Yankees line-up will be almost Texas awful. Keep on eye on Shelly Duncan. He is tearing-up AAA Sranton-WB and could provide that Kevin Maas/Shane Spencer magic the Yankees desparetly need to be a .500 club.

*

Ryan Braun stole his 7th base. I am beginning to think he is going to be a second round pick next season and be in the argument for the 2nd-best 3B spot behin ARod.

Monday, July 02, 2007

Day 91

Notes from yesterday:

Can this line-up be this bad?

J. Damon dh .250
D. Jeter ss .338
R. Cano 2b .265
A. Rodriguez .327
J. Posada c .336
H. Matsui lf .270
B. Abreu rf .247
A. Phillips 1b .250
M. Cabrera cf .259

Sunday, July 01, 2007

Day 90

Notes from yesterday:

The A's Rich Harden pitched two innings yesterday. There have no no reports of pain. However, that does not mean the A's did not tell him to keep that quiet if there were.

*

The Twins recalled Matt Garza. In AL-only leagues, he is worth picking-up but keep expectations low.

Saturday, June 30, 2007

Day 89

Notes from yesterday:

Phillies rookie speedster garnered six more ABs in yesterday's double-header loss to the Mets. Whether he is being showcased for a trade or has displaced the awful Pat Burrell is not important. What is is the cheap SBs he will provide.

Oh yeah. He stole two bases yesterday and is now 13-13. If Shane Victorino can be turned into a speed demon by Davy Lopes, I shudder to think what a real speedster can do.

Friday, June 29, 2007

Day 88

Notes from yesterday:

Despite the dreaded "vote of confidence" from his manager and GM, Todd Jones successfully closed out yesterday's win.

*

With the All-Star Break less than two weeks away, do not be surprised to see players go on the DL now or have their stays on the DL extended through the break a la Curt Schilling.

Thursday, June 28, 2007

Day 87

Notes from yesterday:

Jack Cust hit is 13th HR yesterday. With the adjustment to the pitcher's adjustment, there is reason to believe he has become a legitmate major league hitter.

*

There is something going on in the Giants' bullpen. Closer Brad Hennessey was ineffective in the 8th inning and was replaced by Vinny Chulk for the 9th inning. Will it be Chulk? Randy Messenger? Kevin Correia? AAA closer Brian Wilson?

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Day 86

Notes from yesterday:

Alex Cora is going to get more time at SS in hopes he does for Lugo what he did for Pedroia - turn him into a .300 hitter.

*

Who's that Gonzalez guy playing OF for the White Sox?

Tuesday, June 26, 2007

Day 85

Notes from yesterday:

The Rangers back-up catcher Adam Melhuse is now 8-18 since being dealt from the A's. In AL-only leagues with two catchers, he is a great option at the second catcher spot.

*

I pick-on the Rangers line-up. Check out the White Sox one. In particular the outfield.

S. Podsednik lf
A. Gonzalez rf
J. Thome dh
P. Konerko 1b
T. Iguchi 2b
J. Fields 3b
L. Terrero cf
J. Uribe ss
T. Hall c

Monday, June 25, 2007

Day 84

Notes from yesterday:

Royals 3B Alex Gordon stole his 9th base yesterday and has his AVG up to 234. Is it possible to be a post-hype sleeper three months into you career?

*

Am I crazy to think Corey Hart is going to have a Grady Sizemore season circa 2006?

Sunday, June 24, 2007

Day 83

Notes from yesterday:

Matt Kemp walked twice yesterday. As I have said previously, I'd like to see some more HRs, but walks will keep Kemp in the line-up and on the base paths where he can swipe a base or two.

Saturday, June 23, 2007

Day 83

Notes from yesterday:

Matt Cain did not strike out any Yankees in his five inning effort yesterday but walked four.

*

The Elijah Dukes Saga appears over for now. Hopefully, he doesn't assault/kill anyone.

*

Rich Harden struck out two in his first inning of major league rehab. I hope more teams begin to do this.

Friday, June 22, 2007

Day 82

Notes from yesterday:

Pirates rookie John Van Benschoten pitched a decent major league game. With the struggles of Zach Duke and Pat Maholm, the Pirates had better be thinking of dealing a one of their controllable starting pitchers for a hitter with the ability to draw walks.

*

Matt Kemp had another good game. He started off with such a bang last season, that the discontinuation of that power has knocked the shine from him. However, he seems to be a better player now regardless.

Thursday, June 21, 2007

Day 81

Notes from yesterday:

Terry Evans homered for the Angels. As Willits was a player to watch last season, the same applies to Evans this year. With an opportunity, he will be an excellent fantasy hitter. That opportunity may not be this season, though.

*

Jeff Weaver pitched a shutout yesterday. With him available in all leagues, I have do ask, "Do you feel lucky today? Do you, punk?"

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Day 80

Notes from yesterday:

Angels' starter John Lackey is dealing with throwing shoulder soreness and may be pushed back. This would end his CY young contention.

*

Bartolo Colon threw another stinker. Given he is a free agent aftert this season, who has more to lose if Colon is shut down?

Tuesday, June 19, 2007

Day 79

Notes from yesterday:

Cory Hart hit his 8th HR. For a while this seasopn, he looked like a sleeper loser. Now he is on pace for the 20/20 I hoped for.

*

John Lackey's 5th inning implosion against the sudden offensive resurgence of the Astros Has him falling back in the CY Young race.

*

Speaking of the Astros, is it coincidence the team scoring has picked-up following the removal of Adam Everett from the line-up?

Monday, June 18, 2007

Day 78

Notes from yesterday:

Matt Kemp had another good day going 1-3 with a SB. I wonder about the power, but he looks like an everyday player now. Grab him.

*

Gary Mathews Jr is sure earning that $50MM with his 10th HR and 11th SB of the season yesterday.

Sunday, June 17, 2007

Day 77

Notes from yesterday:

Jose Reyes has stolen five bases this weekend and reports feeling really good. Does this mean he is ready to be the player everyone thought he'd be when he was drafted in the Top 5? Realy, that means starting to hit HRs.

*

Happy Father's Day.

Saturday, June 16, 2007

Day 76

Notes from yesterday:

The Padres recalled top prospect, 3B Chase Headley. He fit right in with the current crop of Padres by going 0-3.

*

Danny Haren won his 8th game. He has to be in the AL Cy Young discussion. I still believe Ws will determine the winner.

*

By going 2-4, rookie 3B Alex Gordon spent the second day of his major league careeer over .200. He may never ride the interstate again!

Friday, June 15, 2007

Day 75

Notes from yesterday:

Homer Bailey was on the hook for the W despite striking out one batter in six innings. Jerr Narron ran him out in the 7th to walk the first two batters. The bullpen proceed to implode. I'd like to see many more Ks before believing for 2007.

*

If Zach Greinke is the main set-up man, why doesn't he pitch in the 8th inning?

Thursday, June 14, 2007

Day 74

Notes from yesterday:

The Angels' John Lackey continues his march towards the 2007 CY Young with his 10th victory. Given his low 2.00s ERA, there is little to argue against those 10 Ws.

*

Don't look now, but the Rangers currently lead the race towards next year's #1 pick. Scott Boras couldn't be happier. He may get a record contract if he gets to deal with Rangers' owner Tom Hicks.

Wednesday, June 13, 2007

Day 73

Notes from yesterday:

The Padres lost again - as one would expect a team with an AVg under .250 to do. Acquiring Adam Dunn would help the power but doing nothing about getting hits.

*

The Yankees won for the seventh time in a row to climb back to a .500 record. Buying low time is close to ending.

Tuesday, June 12, 2007

Day 72

Notes from yesterday:

The Giants' Matt Morris pitched his 3rd complete game last night. He wasn't mowing down batters, so I am curious why Bruce Bochy didn't go to his closer, Brad Hennessey, in the 9th.

*

Whatever was said about Dan Ortmeier as a 4th OF in San Francisco, now applies to Nate Schierholtz.

Monday, June 11, 2007

Day 71

Over the weekend, the Dodgers recalled top prospects Matt Kemp and James Loney. Both appear to be in situations to struggle for ABs - Kemp in the OF and Loney at 1B.

*

C Adam Melhuse was dealt to the Rangers. In AL-only leagues with two catchers, he becomes a viable #2. Sad but true.

Sunday, June 10, 2007

Day 70

Notes from yesterday:

Arizona's Mark Reynolds is down to .321. The mainstream media may not have noticed the big drop in production due to the current AVG, but you should. He is 4-31 in the month of June.

*

With Mark Teixeira going on the DL, the Rangers officially have a last place offense.

Lofton CF
Byrd RF
Young SS
Sosa DH
Catalonotto/Wilkerson 1B
Kinsler 2B
Diaz LF
Vazquez/Hairston 3B
Laird C

Saturday, June 09, 2007

Day 69

Notes from yesterday:

Brewers rookie Ryan Braun continues to bat third and excel. His strikeouts and walks, though, bring into question how long that will continue. 16 Ks in 52 ABs and just 3 BBs?

*

Victor Diaz struck out four times last night bringing his total to 26 in 76 ABs. Selling high is the wise thing to do. Buying high isn't.

Friday, June 08, 2007

Day 68

Notes from yesterday:

The closer news of the day was the possibility of Brad Lidge returning to the closer's role. Dan Wheeler preceded to fuel that fire by blowing a three run lead.

*

Rajai Davis got his first hit yesterday and is 1-9 in three consecutive starts. Unimpressive but he has drawn a walk in each of those starts for a Pirates-impressive .333 OBP.

*

Dodgers reliever Chad Billingsley had taken quite well to the bullpen. With three Ks yesterday, he now has 39 in 32 innings of work with a 1.25 WHIP.

Thursday, June 07, 2007

Day 67

Notes from yesterday:

Pirates rookie Rajai Davis stole his first base of the season. He's started two games in a row in centerfield. If he gets regular ABs, he is going to steal 15+.

*

The Royals recalled Joey Gathwright, who preceded to steal a base in his first game. As with Davis, he should be expected to steal a significant numbers of bags with regular playing time.

Wednesday, June 06, 2007

Day 66

Notes from yesterday:

Is this a play-off caliber outfield? Marlon Byrd, Jerry Hairston and Victor Diaz?

*

Phillies OF Michael Bourn stole his 8th base. With Aaron Rowand's free agency looming next off-season, Bourn is an excellent 2008 sleeper.

Tuesday, June 05, 2007

Day 65

Notes from yesterday:

The DeviL Rays' James "Don't Call Me Jamie" Shields threw another gem last night. Are the Cy Young rumblings going to start?

*

Alfonso Soriano went 5-5. Did I spell that right?

Monday, June 04, 2007

Day 64

Notes from yesterday:

Dodgers' closer Takashi Saito left the 9th inning with a hamstring tweak. To the extent this is minor and that it gives his shoulder additional rest, it is a good thing. The fact he has been sidelined with shoulder soreness and a hamstring issue within a week is not.

*

Maybe J.P Howell is the rookie Devil Rays' starter deserving of the hype and not Andy Sonnanstine? I am concerned that reports had his pitches coming in at the high 70s to low 80s.

Sunday, June 03, 2007

Day 63

Notes from yesterday:

Mike Napoli hit his sixth HR for the Angels - and stole his 4th base! If you use just reltive values, he should be worth a decent starting pitcher or outfielder given the horrible catchign situation in the AL.

*

Magglio Ordonez looks like this year's version of Jermain Dye - a good hitter who has a career year.

*

Rookie JP Howell pitches for the Devil Rays today. With Fossum and Seo setting the bar so low (7.00 ERA), Howell should give the Rays a chance to win.

Saturday, June 02, 2007

Day 62

Notes from yesterday:

Todd Jones pitched another poor game. It's as if he waited until Zumaya and Rodney were hurt to start beign Todd Jones.

*

The White Sox recalled OF Jerry Owens. He should be picked-up in all AL-Only leagues. Thinks Reggie Willits minus the OBP.

*

Rookie Kevin Slowey pitched a gem in his major league debut. I am curious to see how he does against his next opponent.

Friday, June 01, 2007

Day 61

Notes from yesterday:

Will Armando Benitez be given the closer's role in Florida? Early signs say no, but Fredi Gonzalez has been unpredictable so far.

*

Kevin Thompson is going to be recalled to replace Jason Giambi. In very deep Al-only leagues he's worth picking-up only because he's better than what is available i.e. back-up catchers.

*

Watch the San Francisco bullpen. Brad Hennessey is likely to get the first shot, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a top-down review of the bullpen where Sabean has more influence on the role than manager Bruce Bochy.

Thursday, May 31, 2007

Day 60

Notes from yesterday:

Mariano saved last nights victory over the Toronto Blue Jays. If he can get another save tongiht, he will finish the first two months of the season with five.

*

Armando Benitez was rested last night, and Brad Hennessey got the save. He is a must-add if you speculate on saves as I do.

*

Elijah Dukes hit his 10th HR last night. He is amongst the league leaders in this power-deprived season.

Wednesday, May 30, 2007

Day 59

Notes from yesterday:

Shaun Marcum baffled the Yankees for six innings and has been nothing but great in his four starts. I want to believe.

*

The Yankees are now 8 games under .500 with 102 left to play. To finish at .500, they must 60-42. Is it too soon to say the Yanks are going to have a hard time winning 85?

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Day 57

Notes from yesterday:

Kevin Gregg has earned the closer job and nothing in his numbers disputes that.

*

Jack Cust's flower has bloomed. His sub.250 AVG is now a major consideration in his value.

Monday, May 28, 2007

Day 56

Notes from yesterday:

Devil Rays' closer Al Reyes pitched the 9th inning of an 11-5 game. If Madden continues to over-use Reyes, consider selling high.

*

Mark Reynolds is batting clean-up for the Diamondbacks and doing well. Consider trading for him under the auspices that he's going to lose his PT when Chad Tracy returns. 1B Conor Jackson may be the bigger loser.

Sunday, May 27, 2007

Day 55

Notes from yesterday:

Jack Cust is hitting .246 after yesterday's oh-fer. There is very little time left to get quality value for him.

*

Fred Lewis is down to .278. He should remain a decent NL-only play until Dave Roberts returns, but do not be surprised to see him lose a couple starts to fellow rookie Dan Ortmeier who is hitting .375 over the same time period.

Saturday, May 26, 2007

Day 54

Notes from yesterday:

The Mets and Marlins were involved in a pitcher's duel through eight innings. I only saw the final score of 6-2. As a Gregg owner, I worried he pitched in the 5-run 9th. He didn't and he lives to close another day.

*

Rookie Mark Reynolds went 5-5 and is now hitting .459. If he doesn't take over the uber-utility role from Alberto Callaspo when 3B Chad Tracey returns, my opinions of justice will take a hit.

*

The Giants performed right on schedule. Matt Cain pitched and the bullpen blew the Win.

*

Can someone explain why Brian Stokes is in the major leagues?

Friday, May 25, 2007

Day 53

Notes from yesterday:

Micah Owings threw a gem - 8 IP and 1 ER. What surprised me is his ERA didn't drop below 4.00. That is a signal that any one great performance won't be enough to move the standings.

Thursday, May 24, 2007

Day 52

Notes from yesterday:

Alan Embree pitched the 9th in a 4-0 win. Bob geren is going to do it. He is going to make Embree the closer!

*

Jack Cust went 0-3 with three Ks and is 0-6 in the past two games. If you haven't dealt him for less risky value, doing so now would be wise. His AVG is .273. If it gets to .250 - just an 0-5 away - then you won't get anything solid.

Wednesday, May 23, 2007

Day 51

Notes from yesterday:

Tim Lincecum looks like the real deal. Remember that performance was against the same team he faced in his previous start. Adjustment couldn't be fresher: yet the Astros still couldn't produce anything.

*

Mike Mussina's pitching line was ugly. If he a 4th or 5th starter now, the Yanks season is going to need more than Botox to start looking better.

*

Related to Lincecum, there is no one to challenge Armando Benitez for saves on the Giants' major league roster. He's as safe a closer as any.

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Day 50

Notes from yesterday:

Rob Neyer has finally noticed Joe Blanton's 2007 season. The timing is impeccable following last night's six-run appearance. He did K 4 and walk none though.

*

Anyone notice that Carlos lee is producing exactly what he is getting paid for?

Monday, May 21, 2007

Day 49

Notes from yesterday:

Tyler Clippard pitched a gem in his major league debut. At 88-90 MPH, can anyone expect him to run his streak to two-in-a-row versus the Angels this weekend?

*

The Cubs are changing closers for a reason not yet known. Angel Guzman and Carlos Marmol look to be the favorites to do the job. $13MM on Bobby Howry?

*

With his HR yesterday, David Wright now has 7 HRs on the sseason after hitting none in April.

Sunday, May 20, 2007

Day 48

Notes from yesterday:

Scott Baker pitched an absolute gem - W, 8.1 IP, 6H, 0BB and 5K. Post-hype sleeper?

*

Shaun Marcum ran his hitless inning streak to 10 before allowing a Chase Utley HR in the 5th. He still pitched nicely with 6 IP, 1K and 1 BB. In his two starts, he has struck out 13 in 12 IP. On the season, he has 35 K in 28.1 IP.

Saturday, May 19, 2007

Day 47

Notes from yesterday:

Andrew Miller pitched a gem. He is supposed to be an extreme groundball pitcher but only had 7 GOs to 9 FOs to 2 Ks in his 18 outs.

*

The Twins recalled failed sleeper prospect Scott Baker. Will he be a post-hype sleeper?

*

Reggie Willits just keeps producing. His AVG is north of .350 and his OBP is north of .400. With 9 SB, he is a fantasy keeper. No way he doesn't get 400+ ABs this season.

*

Anyone else notice Grady Sizemore has 15 SBs already?

Friday, May 18, 2007

Day 46

Notes from yesterday:

Tim Lincecum struck out 10 in seven innings against the Astros. His first game seems to be have been a case of nerves.

*

Elijah Dukes is going to get the opportunity to play CF everyday following the injury to Rocco Baldelli. If he continues to hit .220 and get caught stealing, he will lose PT and much of his 2007 fantasy value.

Thursday, May 17, 2007

Day 45

Notes from yesterday:

Am I the only person who finds beauty in a complete game boxscore? AJ Burnett did it yesterday, and it looked great.

*

Kevin Gregg saved yesterday's Marlins game. After following the Marlins closely, my guess is Lee Gardner gets the next one.

*

Joe Blanton struck out 7 in 8 great innings. Whatever he did between last year and this is for real.

*

John Lackey won his 6th game. He remains my favorite for the AL CY Young.

Wednesday, May 16, 2007

Day 44

Notes from yesterday:

The Giants Fred Lewis went 2-5 and looks like a decent short-term gamble. He has some power and a lot of speed as evidenced by his double-digit totals in 2B, 3B and HR in AAA last year. He stole 18 last year but 30+ in the three preceding ones. His walks totals are good enough to think he will be able to take them as a pro.

*

In the never-concluded saga of Florida closers, Kevin Gregg pitched the 9th in a 9-3 win.

*

Armando Benitez blew a save tonight. I expect this situation to develop.

Tuesday, May 15, 2007

Day 43

Notes from yesterday:

Dice-K threw a complete game gem versus the Tigers. Maybe he has adjusted to the adjustment the league made to him?

*

I notice the Yankees have the top two hitters by AVG and are still under .500.

Monday, May 14, 2007

Day 42

Notes from yesterday:

OF Carlos Gomez was recalled by the Mets and immediately stole a base. He should be watched very closely.

*

OF Fred Lewis hit for the cycle, and OF Dan Ortmeier went 2-5 for the Giants. Both post-hype prospects are worth watching.

*

Jack Cust has homered so many times this week that he is probably unavailable in all formats.

Sunday, May 13, 2007

Day 41

Notes from yesterday:

Bartolo Colon pitched another good game. Has any pitcher returned from rotator cuff surgery so quickly ans so successfully?

*

Yankees rookie pitcher Matt DeSalvo gave the Yankees 6.2 quality innings. Yet, Joe Torre used three relievers. The bullpen is a trainwreck waiting to happen in no small part due to Joe Torre.

*

JJ Hardy hit his 11th HR yesterday. Is there a single fantasy player who would trade for Hardy based on that number?

*

This may surprise you, but the Boston Red Sox are stealing bases. Julio Lugo has 11 now, and Coco Crisp has seven. The team ranks 6th in the AL.

Saturday, May 12, 2007

Day 40

Notes from yesterday:

Like super prospect Phil Hughes before him, Giants rookie Tim Lincecum pitched a very good second start - 7IP/8RA/2ER/6K.

*

Jeremy Accardo pitched the 9th for the Jays, but it wasn't a save situation. However, that is a signal that he is the lead dog in the race to get the most saves.

*

John Lackey won his 5th game. If he can get to 17W and the Angels make the play-offs, he will be the 2007 CY Young award winner. He's been a very good AL pitcher but has never won the games his stats would indicate - 13 & 14 the past two seasons with 200+ IP and 190+ Ks.

Friday, May 11, 2007

Day 39

Notes from yesterday:

Brandon McCarthy pitched his second consecutive good game. However, his entire season prior was horrendous and is still reflected in his stats. He is someone to keep an eye on, and, if you believe already, to get.

*

The Blue Jays are going with a closer-by-commitee. According to the Toronto Sun, this will be made-up of Jeremy Accardo, Scott Downs and Casey Jannsen. That's right. No Jason Frasor.

Thursday, May 10, 2007

Day 38

Notes from yesterday:

No sooner does Chris Duncan move to the clean-up spot and Ryan Ludwick moves to the two-hole than Cards manager Tony LaRussa changes his mind.

*

The Yankees got another quality start. Unfortunately, Joe Torre used 5 relievers to finish the last three innings. What are the Yankees going to trade for a couple of reliever this July?

Wednesday, May 09, 2007

Day 37

Notes from yesterday:

After batting 5th for the Cardinals, recent AAA call-up Ryan Ludwick was batting second in front of Albert Pujols. If there is anything to that, then Ludwick has a chance to be more valuable than anyone could have imagined entering 2007.

*

The Yankees got their fourth consecutive quality start from their pitching staff.

Tuesday, May 08, 2007

Day 36

Notes from yesterday:

Kyle Farnsworth and Mariano Rivera (and some umpiring help) combined to blow the win for rookie Matt DeSalvo. If Mariano is hurting, then there is no one to close games in NY.

*

Ryan Ludwick batted 5th for the Cardinals. It is shaping-up as a real long season for the WS champs.

*

Who is Zack McClellan? 13 K in 11 IP is worth keeping an eye on.

*

Jorge Julio had his first scoreless appearance as a Marlin - including Spring Training! The Marlins are paying him $2.6MM and the team is coy enough about the closer job to keep fantasy owners watching him.

Monday, May 07, 2007

Day 35

Notes from yesterday:

Roger Clemens dramatically announced his return to the Yankees during the seventh inning stretch at the stadium. There is no reason to believe he won't be one of the best FAAB players this season.

*

Joe Blanton won again. He gave-up a lot of hits, but still struck out six. The increase in Ks is real enough. I think he is a 15W sub-4.00 ERA pitcher for 2007.

*

Josh Hamilton has 8 HRs now. Even if the league catches-up to him, he is worth believing-in anyways.

*

Alphonso Soriano made an appearance at 2B. Woo hoo!

Sunday, May 06, 2007

Day 34

Notes from yesterday:

Shane Victorino stole bags 12 and 13. Yet Michael Bourn only has one.

*

Chein-Ming Wang was a strikeout machine. He K'ed four.

*

Brad Hennessey pitched in the 8th for the second consecutive game. He looks like someone to watch.

Saturday, May 05, 2007

Day 33

Notes from yesterday:

Reggie Willits is the new lead-off hitter in Anaheim following the injury to Garrett Anderson. Grab him now in AL-only leagues and mixed ones in need of AVG and SB.

*

Billy Butler is now eligible at 1B in traditional rotisserie leagues, and he has a nifty .438 AVG to boot.

*

Shane Victorino stole his 10th and 11th bases of the season. No one could see that based on his 2006 total of 4.

Friday, May 04, 2007

Day 32

Notes from yesterday:

JC Romero got the save for the Red Sox. Is there something wrong with Papelbon?

*

Joes Valverde blew a save in spectacular fashion. Is this the beginning of his annual sabbatical from the closer's role?

*

Mariano Rivera saved both ends of yesterday's double-header. If the Yanks have another opportunity tonight, it will be interesting to see who gets the chance.

Thursday, May 03, 2007

Day 31

Notes from yesterday:

Alfonzo Soriano hit his 2nd HR of the season. (I can't believe he spells his name with a "f" and not a "ph"!)

*

Carl Pavano looks like he's out for a long time. I'm tired of the jokes at his expense.

*

Tom Gordon is getting his shoulder checked. Assumign Myers moves to the 9th, the Phils are back where they started prior to Myers move to the bullpen - a reliable 9th inning arm with nothing in front of him.

Wednesday, May 02, 2007

Day 30

Notes from yesterday:

On the 1st of May, Alphonso Soriano, Jacques Jones and David Wright hit their first home runs of the 2007 season.

*

Adam Dunn stole his 6th base last night.

*

Not to take anything away from Philip Hughes, but Victor Diaz was batting clean-up for the Rangers - a couple hours after being recalled from AAA.

Tuesday, May 01, 2007

Day 29

Notes from yesterday:

Kenny Lofton stole his 11th base of the season. Fountain of Youth? Sell high? 40+ SB season? No idea, but he has been a quite an over-achiever so far.

*

John Lackey won his 4th game of the season. With the Dice-K hype, he is going to be forgotten by East Coast denizens. He was my pre-season pick for AL CY Young (and I put $28 on him at the draft to support that.)

*

Troy Tulowitzki went 4-4 and brought his AVG up to .244. He looks safe. Now teammate Chris Iannetta needs to get a few good games in a row under his belt to save his.

Monday, April 30, 2007

Day 28

Notes from yesterday:

The Angels sent top prospect Brandon Wood back to AAA. With the rotation looking like the best one in the AL and a weak AL West, the Angels don't appear to need to have any power in their line-up to win.

*

The A's acquired Ryan Langerhans from the Braves for close to nothing. Given how poorly Langerhans did with Atlanta, he may be a good buy low player. How much worse can he get?

*

With the recall of Hunter Pence, CF/2B Chris Burke may be going the way of former Astros prospect Jason Lane.

Sunday, April 29, 2007

Day 27

Notes from yesterday:

Macier Izturis played 3B for the Angels and batted third. Top prospect Brandon Wood has no value right now.

*

Joe Torre got lucky when his decision to start Jeff Karstens over Kei Igawa was negated by Julio Lugo's leg-breaking line drive.

*

Jason Frasor blew his first save since BJ Ryan hit the DL. With Shaun Marcum pitching poorly, Casey Jansenn is worth a look as a back-up.

*

Matt Cain was denied another W by his bullpen.

Saturday, April 28, 2007

Day 26

Notes from yesterday:

Mariano Rivera looked awful, not as bad as Mike Myers, but awful nonetheless. Unless he is injured, no other Yankee will get a save - not that any of them have pitched well enough to even entertain that possibility.

*

Aaron Rowand hit his 5th homerun last night, and Jimmy Rollins hit his 9th. Both are surprises, but Rowand is more noteworthy because his power disappearred after his 25-HR 2004 season.

*

Ramon Ortiz threw another great 4x4 game last bight. His 14 Ks in 35 innings do not auger well for continued success, but he has walked just 6. He can't maintian a .217 BAA. but if it stays in the mid 200s, he'd still be valuable.

Friday, April 27, 2007

Day 25

Notes from yesterday:

Brandon Wood went 0-4 with two strikeouts in his major league debut. I'm not surprised and would not be surprised if he didn't do anything in the next couple days. He needs an extended stretch of ABs to produce and to be judged.

*

Philip Hughes wasn't impressive against a Jays line-up that included Jason Smith, jason phillips and John MacDonald. Worse, he didn't last five innings.

*

Bartolo Colon had his second consecutive impressive performance post-labrum surgery. Reports have him throwing 95 MPH. If true, then he is going to be a $20+ pitcher this season. Stunning.

Thursday, April 26, 2007

Day 24

Notes from yesterday:

The Angels called-up top prospect Brandon Wood. I don't know why, but he is worth grabbing on the chance he is slated to play somewhere for the rest of the season.

*

Joe Blanton pitched another gem last night going nine innings and striking out six. He is doing something differently. I'm a believer even though I don't know what that something is.

*

Don't you hate extra inning games? There is only more opportunities to get at-bats without hits i.e. Morgan Ensberg's 0-7 or Nate McLouth's 0-4 after pinch-hitting in the 9th.

Wednesday, April 25, 2007

Day 23

Notes from yesterday:

If the Devil Rays can get reliable middle relief, this may be the season the team wins more than 70 games. The offense is too good not to.

*

Nate Silver at Baseball Prospectus did some statistical analysis that showed the poor offense is consistent with bad weather. Sell Adam Loewen now!

Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Day 22

Notes from yesterday:

Henry Owens was unable to convert his first save opportunity since being named the closer a week ago. I can't help thinking this situation will remain unresolved.

*

Rich Harden was placed on the DL. This isn't a good sign as his injury has progressed from making his next scheduled start on Friday 4/20 to starting on 4/24 to the DL.

Monday, April 23, 2007

Day 21

Notes from yesterday:

With just four bench players and C Jorge Posada unable to catch and his back-up, Wil Nieves, unable to hit, 1B/DH Josh Phelps made an appearance at catcher. That is the type of funky eligibilty that will occur with the move to 12- and 13-man pitching staffs.

*

Ryan Howard gets a few days off and returns to hit a HR and a 400' sacrifice fly. Who is be to the pitchers who face him this week.

*

Pirates SP Tom Gorzelanny went to 3-0 with yesterday's victory over the Dodgers. He is a perfect sell-high candiate - great stats plus acclaim across the roto-blogosphere. Unlike Twins starter Ramon ortiz who is missing the second part.

*

Jose Reyes has 10 SB through the first 21 days of the season to go with 16 RBI. He is the #1 overall pick next year.

Sunday, April 22, 2007

Day 20

Notes from yestersday:

Mets' reclamation project, Oliver Perez, pitched a gem yesterday, but it could have been ugly if Andruw Jones have gotten a hit against rookie side-armer Joe Smith. Speaking of which, Smith has made the decision to let fellow side-armer Chad Bradford go as a free agent quite smart. $360K vs $10.5MM

*

Anyone notice Royals closer, Joakim Soria, hasn't had a save opportunity since being named to the role almost two weeks ago?

*

Cole Hamels threw a 15 strikeout complete game gem yesterday. I wonder if the Phillies nightmare of a bullpen is going to cause Charlie Manuel to stay with his starters longer than he should?

Saturday, April 21, 2007

Day 19

Notes from yesterday:

Blue Jays reliever Shaun Marcum blew his second 8th inning lead in consecutive appearances. Jason Frasor is safe at closer for now.

*

The Red Sox used Hideki Okajima to close out the Yankees. Papelbon had pitched the previous two days. Okajima is the middle reliever to grab.

*

A's pitcher Joe Blanton struck out 7 and walked only one against the Rangers. I...am...almost ready to declare him a major sleeper. The dramatic increase in strikeouts (about 4.5 per 9 IP vs 7.9 this year) looks like it is real.

Friday, April 20, 2007

Day 18

Notes from yesterday:

The "good" news on Ryan Howard is he should only miss a couple games with a knee ligament strain. Until he plays again, reserve judgment.

*

The "good" news on Felix Hernandez is he should only miss 10-20 days. I can't but help thinking he is going to be an injury risk all season. While JJ Putz may be able to throw 20-40 pitches everyday, throwing 100+ every 5th day is a different kind of workload.

*

If you have ARod and aren't dominating the power categories, you're season is in trouble. Half his numbers would make him one of the best players on any AL-only team right now.

*

Is Joe Borowski the next closer to lose his job? With yesterday's implosion, his WHIP is 2.33. Even prior to that, it was 1.60.

Thursday, April 19, 2007

Day 17

Notes from yesterday:

The poor Phillies! First they move their #1 starter, Brett Myers, to middle relief, and then, their top power hitter, Ryan Howard, injures his knee. Myers is likely being groomed to close. Howard? Irreplacable.

*

Mariner's starting pitching left his start last night in the 1st inning with elbow discomfort. When I said Pitching Armageddon was coming, I didn't mean that!

*

Speaking of which, Indians SP Jeremy Sowers fell from the ranks of the early season elite. Another couple weeks, and things will be back to normal.

*

The Angels will be recalling a bat following the broken finger of Howie Kendrick. Word is it will be Brandon Wood. He'd be worth an immediate grab. Also get Erick Aybar as he will see increased time at 2B.

Wednesday, April 18, 2007

Day 16

Notes from yesterday:

Kevin Gregg pitched in the 1st inning of yesterday's Marlins game. For now, he should be considered out of the running for the Marlins'closer job. Jorge Julio? No way. Right now it is a two-horse race between Henry Owens and Taylor Tankersly.

*

Steve Traschel and Brett Tomko fell from the ranks of the elite early season starting pitchers. More to follow.

*

Bartolo Colon is slated to start Saturday's game. Reports had him hitting 95 in his rehab starts. If reliable, then he should be a very nice addition just as the shams begin to implode.

*

If I were an asset manager, I'd be 90% relievers right now if the market was starting pitching. Not even Felix hernandez is going to finish with a 0.00 ERA and .50 WHIP. Pitching Armageddon is nigh!

Tuesday, April 17, 2007

Day 15

Notes from yesterday:

The Rockies did the inevitable - removed LaTroy Hawkins from the important 8th-inning set-up role. In his place is Manny Corpas. He is worth keeping an eye on if closer Brian Fuentes struggles/is traded.

Expect to see this type of move more frequently as we get closer to the end of the month. Teams have given players chances to succeed in roles and must re-adjust if the results aren't statifactory.

*

Devil Rays utility man Brandan Harris hit his third HR yesterday. With Ben Zobrist back nearing 50 ABs without 10 hits, a change could be coming here. I'd be surprised if this team can play enough defense in the middle infield with Harris at SS and Upton at 2B though.

*


Blue Jays LF Reed Johnson is having back surgery and will be out until the ASB. Grab Adam Lind immediately as the Troy Glaus injury may have him hitting in the heart of the order for the next couple weeks. If he produces, he becomes a $20+ player.

Monday, April 16, 2007

Day 14

Notes from yesterday:

The news from Toronto is LF Reed Johnson is contemplating back surgery that would sideline him for two months. If Adam Lind wasn't a must-grab before, he is now. Let's get those 20 games in the OF to qualify there for the 2008 drafts.

*

No one is hitting. Amongst the top 100 players in ABs, such luminaries as Gary Sheffield, Albert Pujols and Michael Young are under .200. There is a pitching armageddon coming. Don't believe the hype of the various starting pitchers who have been excellent i.e. Steve Traschel.

*

Derek Jeter committed his 6th error yesterday. He'll never move from SS, and he'll never get the bullying press on him either.

*

Colorado rookies SS Troy Tuliwitzki and C Chris Iannetta are either tremendous buy low candidates or getting close to spending some time in AAA. The same can be said about other rookies who got out of the gate slowly like Elijah Dukes.

Sunday, April 15, 2007

Day 13

Notes from yesterday:

A's SP Joe Blanton struck out five Yankees in 6.1 IP. That is two good strikeout starts to one bad one. A return to his 2005 levels with unembarassing strikeout totals (~150) seems more likely than not.

*

Cardinals OF Chris Duncan looks like his 2006 numbers were more breakout than fluke. His OBP may not remain at .441 nor will his .609 SLG, but I am beginning to have confidence that he will slug .500

Saturday, April 14, 2007

Day 12

Notes from yesterday:

Rangers closer Eric Gagne successfully saved his first game of 2007. Watch to see what is reported about his elbow over the next day or two. Any report of soreness is a red flag to hold on to Akinori Otsuka.

*

If you drafted Astros OF Carlos lee, is there anything nicer than getting a 3 HR/6 RBI game so early in the season?

*

Al Reyes saved his third game for the Devil Rays. He is locked into the the role.

*

Watch Yankees' prospect LHP Chase Wright. He may fill-in for the sore-armed Carl Pavano. Reports this spring had him improving above his career numbers. His 2007 season builds on that - 19KS in 14 IP with a tiny .085 BAA.

*

Randy Johnson pitched six innings in AAA last night. He could start this Thursday for the Diamondbacks. Even with the draft day, salary-reducing injury, he is still likely to make nearly 30 starts. The only difference between him and a $30 SP is going to be the salary difference.

Friday, April 13, 2007

Day 11

Notes from yesterday:

Elijah Dukes is struggling now. He is not dissapointing to me as I expect a low double digit HR/SB combo. For those who got him post HRs with the expectations of a 20/20 2007.....

*

Pitching has been dominant so far. Do not expect that to last. If I were sitting on mediocre starters, I'd begin to brace for an ugly stretch.

*

The Nationals Jason Bergman pitched a fantasy gem - 6 IP, 5 runners and 8 Ks. Too bad no one had him on their team. Nor should anybody.

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Day 10

Notes from yesterday:

Twins SP Ramon Ortiz pitched a complete game gem versus the Yankees. I am more confident today that he has learned a new trick than I was yesterday. With Seattle and Kansas City scheduled for his next two starts, he has a chance to have an incredible April.

*

The Dodgers' Takashi Saito got his 5th save yesterday. With the Dodgers homerless offense and their good pitching, there should be a lot of close games. Saito may finish 2007 as the top NL closer.

*

The Nationals stink. 50 wins may be too much to expect. As a result, start all pitchers against them. There should also be a marginal boost to the Mets, Braves, Marlins, and Phillies staffs as a result of the unbalanced shcedule.

*

Remember hitters who got off to a slow start like Ben Zobrist's 1-17 or Jose Vidro's 1-15 are still coming out of those starts. Zobrist has been 5-14 since and Vidro 2-4. Don't panic.

Wednesday, April 11, 2007

Day 9

Notes from yesterday:

Rule V draftee, Joakim Soria, was given the opportunity for a two-inning save for the Kansas City Royals. In an AL-only league, he should be grabbed. In this format, a Ready! Fire! Aim! mindset is the best one when it comes to closers.

*

The Dodgers put rookie RF Matt Kemp on the DL and recalled RHP Chin-Hui Tsao instead of the deserving James Loney. This was done because Rafael Furcal is due to come off the DL this Friday. Don't read too much more into it. If Saito and Broxton were not so good, Tsao would be a nice sleeper for saves.

*

Angels' utility man, Erick Aybar, was thrown out trying to steal 2B with two outs in the 9th and the club trailing. This is the second time this season Aybar has done this. It has to be a record! Do not be surprised to see his SB attempts drop further than his playing time!

*

Bartolo Colon pitched 5 2/3 innings in his second rehab start. He looks like he is going to be a good starter and one that came heavily discounted in all drafts. FWIW, he gave up 2 runs on five hits with 5 Ks and no BBs.

Tuesday, April 10, 2007

Day 8

Notes from yesterday:

I watched several innings of Carl Pavano's start, and he looked good. If he can pitch that way more times than not, he will win 14+ with AL-acceptable ratios.

*

Henry Owens saved his first game of 2007, but he is still looking for his first strikeout. Expect him to be named interim closer if Jorge Julio struggles again. Some would argue Julio should never have been obtained. Especially with Nolasco on the DL.

*

The Twins called-up infielder Alex Casilla. In AL-only leagues, he should be picked-up for his potential SBs, and OF Jason Tyner should be, too.

*

Ian Snell pitched another gem and did not get a W. He is a very risky 4x4 pitcher without those Ws. I'd sell high if I could.

Monday, April 09, 2007

Day 7

Notes from yesterday:

Oakland A's starter Joe Blanton picked-up the win. He only struck out two so the hopes that he could follow-up his 7-K start with more Ks to solidfy his status as a big time 2007 sleeper remains on hold.

*

Dave Ortiz homered twice yesterday, but a lot of the big HR hitters have not. Woe is be the roto teams whose starters are facing Ryan Howard, Mark Texeira et al when they do!

*

Watch who the Marlins use to close if there is a save opportunity today. He is the back-up closer. My guess is Henry Owens, but I am concerned he hasn't struck out a batter over four innings of work. Where'd the heater go?

*

Rafeal Furcal is days from being activated and making every roto team who didn't draft him based on the early injury regret the move.

*

Randy Johnson dominated in his second rehab start. Roto owners will also be ruing the decision not to bid on him.

Sunday, April 08, 2007

Day 6

Notes from yesterday:

Bobby Crosby pinch ran so his back spasms are not a concern. However, what kind of team speed do the A's possess that a player with minimal speed and a bad lower back is the best option late in games to run?

*

While he sat yesterday, Padres' catcher Josh Bard has been batting clean-up. He is going to be a lot better than anyone projected if this holds. I'd grab him.

*

Eric Byrnes hit his 2nd HR and stole his 3rd base. Looks like he is the legitimate 20/20 player I thought he was following his 2004 campaign. Unfortunately, he failed in 2005 when I was counting on him. As a result, he went to another team in the 2006 draft, and I can only look back in regret.

Saturday, April 07, 2007

Day 5

Notes from yesterday:

Queue up Whitesnake's "Here We Go Again." Bobby Crosby left last night's game with back spasms.

*

The Tampa Bay Devil Rays are the feel-good story of the season. Cancel the remaining 159 games!

*

The Mets' Deolis Guerra is the minor league phenom of 2007. He will be 18 on the 17th of April, is 6'6 and throws 94 MPH in the Florida State League. Here's to hoping arm injuries do not derail him.

*

FWIW, Kevin Correia is pitching the 8th inning for the Giants. If Benitez struggles, he is next in line.

Friday, April 06, 2007

Day 4

Notes from yesterday:

Armando Benitez saved his first game of 2007. As long as he stays healthy, he will close all season for the Giants who have no serious alternatives right now. I have little doubt he was one of the draft day bargains. How can he not be when the baseball press continually derides him?

*

Arizona's 5th starter Edgar Gonzalez struck out seven in five innings of work. He is a pitcher to watch. As one of my sleepers, I grabbed him for $3 in my NL-only draft and expect him to continue doing well.

*

Elijah Dukes homered in his 2nd professional game and drew another walk. Is it too early to place him in the ROY discussion along with Dice-K and Alex Gordon? No, but I wanted to get ahead of myself.

*

Daisake Matsuzaka struck out 10 Royals in his major league debut. I want to see him a couple more times before declaring him a legitimate Cy Young candidate, too.

Thursday, April 05, 2007

Day 3

Notes from yesterday's games:

Twins starting pitcher Ramon Ortiz pitched a gem. His next start is slated to be against the Yankees. While just a start, it should help determine if this is the new Ramon Ortiz or the one who pitched in Washington last season.

*

Bobby Crosby went 2-2 with a SB. Any chance he joins Felix Hernandez as super-hyped 2006 players who fulfill that hype in 2007?

*

Jose Reyes homered yesterday in the Mets final game of a three-game sweep of the Cardinals. I have visions of Eric Davis fantasy stats circa 1986 - 27 HRs and 80 SB. Keep in mind Davis did that in less than 500 ABs.

*

Johnny Damon's calf injury looks like it will force the Yankees to play without a back-up outfielder. Only Miguel Cairo, Josh Phelps and Wil Nieves remain on the bench, assuming Doug Mientkiewicz is starting at 1B. Do not be surprised to see one of them get OF-eligibility if Damon can't play by the weekend.

Wednesday, April 04, 2007

Day 2

Notes from yesterday:

Joe Blanton struck out seven Mariners and walked none. I had previously mentioned his increased strikeouts this spring. If he does dramatically increase his Ks, then a run towards a Top 20 AL starter has begun.

*

Indians future closing prospect Tony Sipp is out for three months with an elbow injury. I really liked him to emerge as an important mid-season call-up. There is no chance of that.

*

Jason Lane was forced into the Astros line-up against a right-hander Ian Snell and hit a HR. So much for platoons. Maybe Garner will stop using no-hit Orlando Palmeiro to pinch-hit when Lane is available?

*

Ian Snell struck out 11 but did not get a win. In 4x4, this was a nice stat line but not very important. Snell won 14 last season. That is the high estimate for any Pirates starter.

Tuesday, April 03, 2007

Thoughts on Opening Day

Notes from yesterday:

Brad Lidge blew his first save. I'd advise selling high, but I'd be a season too late. Dan Wheeler is the favorite to step-in.

Speaking of the Astros, they scored two runs against the Pirates. Why? Craig Biggio hit first, and he was followed by Adam Everett. Then late in the game, Orlando Palmeiro got a pinch-hit opportunity, and Jason Lane remained on the bench.

*

Erik Bedard look nasty in the first couple of innings. The TV graphic reported a radar reading of 98 MPH. Much to my surprise, he ended-up being Carl Pavano with some strikeouts. I guess nastiness for an inning is only good for relievers.

*

So Joe Torre is going to use Mariano in one-inning stints. Maybe that is why he pitched him in a non-save situation yesterday? There would be no Torre HoF talk if he did not have Mariano Rivera, whose usage patterns would have broken down every other pitcher in the major leagues.

Monday, April 02, 2007

Jorge Cantu

ESPN.com - INSIDER - Rob Neyer Blog: "What really got Cantu was ill health and poor defense, and I won't be surprised if he returns to the majors at some point as a healthy first baseman with a decent future."

Cantu is 25 years-old and fell victim to whatever mismanagement is occurring in Tampa Bay. Don't forget about him.

Sunday, April 01, 2007

Ramon Otiz

TwinCities.com - Ortiz proves he's ready: "In six spring training starts, Ortiz went 0-1 with 10 runs (seven earned) on 18 hits in 20 1/3 innings for a 3.10 earned-run average. He walked only one batter and gave up three home runs (all in one game) and struck out 16.....So with a Santana-style change and improved posture, Ortiz is ready to head north. And the excitement he's shown all spring about being a Minnesota Twin has not waned. "



I am warming to the idea of a $1 gamble on a player who was considereed the next Pedro several years ago.

Michael Bourn

Bourn all but certain for roster | Inquirer | 03/31/2007: "When you listen to manager Charlie Manuel and general manager Pat Gillick, it sounds as if the Phillies have more planned for Michael Bourn than just a role as a late-inning defensive replacement."



Hello, 20 SB for a couple of dollars!