Friday, September 04, 2009

Fantasy Football Expert Herd Behavior

The hating on LaDanian Tomlinson?

Fantasy Football: Like The QB, Not So Much The WRs

In order of liking the QBS:

Dallas Cowboys Tony Romo
Philadelphia Eagles Donovan McNabb
San Diego Chargers Philip Rivers
Chicago Bears Jay Cutler
New York Giants Eli Manning

In order of least liked WRs to more liked:

New York Giants Eli Manning
San Diego Chargers Philip Rivers
Dallas Cowboys Tony Romo
Chicago Bears Jay Cutler
Philadelphia Eagles Donovan McNabb

Thursday, September 03, 2009

Fantasy Football: What? Me Worry? Fantasy Bust

Why no worry that last season's injury-riddled one wasn't the beginning of the the end for the 29-year-old Antonio Gates? Just 60 receptions while battling numerous leg injuries. At his size, one could see him aging poorly.

Fantasy Football: Mentioned On Rotowire Fantasy Sports Hour

A couple days ago, I commented at Rotosynthesis that Denver Bronco's head coach josh McDaniels is analogous to Toronto Blue Jays' Gm J.P. Ricciardi. Today's Rotowire Fantasy Sports Hour podcast mentioned it around the 5 minute mark.

Fantasy Baseball: 2010 Sleeper

Cleveland Indians OF Michael Brantley.

The Cleveland Indians and Grady Sizemore are in rumors that Sizemore will be shut down. Brantley's higher than 1.0 BB/K plus 40+ SBs in AAA says he is ready to be a fantasy contributor.

Fantasy Football: Football Outsiders Almanac 2009 Sleepers And Busts

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Football analysis and NFL stats for the Moneyball era - Authors of Football Outsiders Almanac 2009:

"The players listed for each team are one expected to rise, one expected to fall, and one to look out for, respectively.

Atlanta Falcons: Jerious Norwood, Matt Ryan, Stephen Nicholas
Carolina Panthers: Jeff Otah, DeAngelo Williams, Charles Johnson
New Orleans Saints: Pierre Thomas, Jeremy Shockey, Tracy Porter
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Kellen Winslow, Ronde Barber, Roy Miller
Houston Texans: Matt Schaub, Jacques Reeves, Xavier Adibi
Indianapolis Colts: Anthony Gonzalez, Jeff Saturday, Ed Johnson
Jacksonville Jaguars: David Garrard, Rob Meier, Torry Holt
Tennessee Titans: LenDale White, Cortland Finnegan, Jason Jones"

Fantasy Football: The QBs Go Early And Draft Results

Here is the first of my three fantasy football teams. The league is a 12-team PPR league and contians severals fantasy football experts. I selected 1st overall and choose Minnesota Vikings RB Adrian Peterson. I had little doubt about that pick.

What I wasn't so sure about was which positions to address at the 2.12/3.01 turn. I had been seriously entertaining a QB/WR if any of the top QBs were available (Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers or Peyton Manning).

When Tom Brady was selected with the 2nd pick, I had a feeling taking a QB was unlikely. After Brady, Drew Brees was selected 7th overall. Then Peyton Manning and Aaron Rodgers were taken in the 2nd round as was Arizona Cardinals QB Kurt Warner.

Those selections solidified my strategy to draft amongst the next group of QBs later in the draft. In another surprise turn, Atlanta Falcons QB Matt Ryan was selected in the 3rd round as was Dallas Cowboy QB Tony Romo and San Diego Charger Philip Rivers.

My immediate adjustment was to put off selecting a QB until later and take advantage of the fact that top WRs and RBs will be available when I picked who otherwise wouldn't have been thanks to the surprise early drafting of QBs.

My roster bears out that assessment.

PickOvrPlayerTeamPos
1.011Adrian PetersonMINRB
2.1224Steve SmithCARWR
3.0125Greg JenningsGBPWR
4.1248Pierre ThomasNOSRB
5.0149Darren McFaddenOAKRB
6.1272Donovan McNabbPHIQB
7.0173Matt SchaubHOUQB
8.1296Ahmad BradshawNYGRB
9.0197Dustin KellerNYJTE
10.12120Torry HoltJACWR
11.01121Ted Ginn JrMIAWR
12.12144Jermichael FinleyGBPTE
13.01145Jamaal CharlesKCCRB
14.12168Bernard ScottCINRB
15.01169John CarneyNOSPK
16.12192New Orleans SaintsNOSDef

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Fantasy Football The Deepest Position

TE. With the dearth of quality #2 WRs, teams employ the TE as the 2nd receiver.

Normally, I take an elite TE in the 3rd, 4th or 5th round in PPR formats. I am not doing that this season.

Fantasy Football: If You Believe

...in Arizona Cardinals' RB Beanie Wells, do you also believe the passing game will be slightly less prolific and/or 3rd WR Steve Breaston will be a disappointment?

Fantasy Football Sleeper Flex In PPR

1 Ahmad Bradshaw
2 Leon Washington
3 Felix Jones
4 Peyton Hillis

Fantasy Baseball: 2010 Sleepers

Who do you like more, Chicago Cubs 3B/OF Jake Fox or Pittsburgh Pirates OF Garret Jones?

Fantasy Football: Draft Logistics Advice

RotoSynthesis >> Draft Logistics Advice:

"What's the best way to conduct a fantasy football draft or auction? Here's some advice and tips from someone who's in 30+ fantasy drafts/auctions per year."

I have a 12-team PPR tonight using Rotowire's commissioner service. If there are major issues, I'll let you know.

Picking 1st and still deciding whether to go Adrian Peterson- WR-WR or -RB-WR or RB-RB or RB-QB. I'm feeling like zigging when other zag.

Fantasy Football: More Sleepers And Overall Draft Positions

Whenever one listens to various fantasy football experts talk about players, one always hears this guy is a RB2 or a 3rd wide receiver or a QB2. The problem is there isn't any sort of way to see these players grouped together. Rotisserie Musings steps into this gap and provides RB1, RB2, WR1, WR2, QB, TE, FLEX and Bench designations for your improved fantasy football preparation and knowledge.

Here are the 3rd and a few 4th bench spots taken with the overall pick used. This is typically where fantasy drafts begin to take their fantasy football sleeper RBs, sleeper WR and then fantasy sleeper QBs and TEs later. You will also find sleepers in the Flex position for those who tend to reach earlier for them.

OAPlayerRoster
99Ben RoethlisbergerBN3
109Laurence MaroneyBN3
110Steve BreastonBN3
111Justin FargasBN3
112Darius Heywood-BeyBN3
113Matt HasselbackBN3
114Carson PalmerBN3
115Eli ManningBN3
116Torry HoltBN3
117John CarlsonBN3
119Jamaal CharlesBN3
120Jack DelhommeBN3
121Chester TaylorBN4
122Kyle OrtonBN4
123Brandon PettigrewBN4
124Kevin WalterBN4
125Ricky WilliamsBN4

TE Ranks
Sleeper Ranks 2
QB Ranks
Fantasy Football Sleepers 1
Flex Ranks
WR2 Results
WR1 Results
RB1 Results
RB2 Results
12-team PPR draft results

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Fantasy Football Denver Bronco Version of Kevin Faulk

Fullback Peyton Hillis

Fantasy Baseball: Jim Thome FAAB Bid

I can't see anything but a minimal bid for the top power-hitting pinch hitter in the National League. There is no chance he plays in the NL next season so there is no upside to landing him now.

Fantasy Football: TE Ranks And Overall Draft Position

Whenever one listens to various fantasy football experts talk about players, one always hears this guy is a RB2 or a 3rd wide receiver or a QB2. The problem is there isn't any sort of way to see these players grouped together. Rotisserie Musings steps into this gap and provides RB1, RB2, WR1, WR2, QB, TE, FLEX and Bench designations for your improved fantasy football preparation and knowledge.

Finally, the TE ranks with the overall draft spot. This information provides some intelligence on how long you can wait and still expect to fill the particular position.

OAPlayerRoster
38Jason WittenTE
40Antonio GatesTE
47Dallas ClarkTE
61Dustin KellerTE
67Kellen WinslowTE
68Greg OlsonTE
69Owen DanielsTE
72Chris CooleyTE
82Tony GonzalezTE
103Brett CelekTE
104Jeremy ShockeyTE
118Zach MillerTE

Sleeper Ranks 2
QB Ranks
Fantasy Football Sleepers 1
Flex Ranks
WR2 Results
WR1 Results
RB1 Results
RB2 Results
12-team PPR draft results

Fantasy Football: New York Sleeper WRs

In PPR formats, the New York Giants Steve Smith looks like a 5/60 WR. In non-PPR formats, Giants' WR Domenick Hixon looks like a 3/60 WR.

The New York Jets Chansi Stuckey and David Clowney look like Domenick Hixon types right now. Unfortunately, there is no clear differentiations between the two. Half a Hixon is not good.

Fantasy Football: Twinjuries

injuryexpert Closing @Twinjuries. Tough to establish w/ free competition + I'm very bearish on ANYONE succeeding with a pay-for-content model going fwd.

Very sympathetic to that view. ESPN Insider suceeds the same way Medicare/Medicaid does - an endless supply of other revenue to subsidize it.

Fantasy Football: Sleeper TE

OK. The team at Rotosynthesis loves Jermichael Finley of the Green Bay Packers. An excellent question was posed over there. Which TE do you drop to add Finley from the free agent pool?

Brett Celek? Jeremy Shockey? Zach Miller?

Fantasy Football: Sleepers And Overall Draft Position

Whenever one listens to various fantasy football experts talk about players, one always hears this guy is a RB2 or a 3rd wide receiver or a QB2. The problem is there isn't any sort of way to see these players grouped together. Rotisserie Musings steps into this gap and provides RB1, RB2, WR1, WR2, QB, TE, FLEX and Bench designations for your improved fantasy football preparation and knowledge.

Here are the second bench spots taken with the overall pick used. This is typically where fantasy drafts begin to take their fantasy football sleeper RBs, sleeper WR and then fantasy sleeper QBs and TEs later. You will also find sleepers in the Flex position for those who tend to reach earlier for them.

OAPlayerRoster
75Fred JacksonBN2
89Donald DriverBN2
90Willie ParkerBN2
97Percy HarvinBN2
98Chad OchoCincoBN2
100Chris HenryBN2
101Darren SprolesBN2
102Donnie AveryBN2
105Shonn GreeneBN2
106Brett FavreBN2
107Willis McGaheeBN2
108Leon WashingtonBN2




QB Ranks
Fantasy Football Sleepers 1
Flex Ranks
WR2 Results
WR1 Results
RB1 Results
RB2 Results
12-team PPR draft results