Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Fantasy Sleeper: 3B

With HRs down, the value of the 20 HR hitter has increased. There exists a 3B/OF qualifier who is likely to be a single-digit player in AL-only auction drafts and an end-game draftee/free agent in mixed formats.

His name? Mark Teahen.

While there is little in his profile to make anyone believe he can hit 20 HRs (50% groundball rate, sub-80% contact rate), he does have a new home ballpark, U.S. Cellular Field. In it, Teahen has a career SLG of .510 and a HR/AB rate of 5.8% compared to a .424 and 2.3% rates at Kauffman Stadium.

The math works out to 21-22 HRs assuming the relationships hold in 2010.

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