Wednesday, August 10, 2005

Deadline deals

As we approach the Rotisserie trade deadline, teams should be seriously be considering trading any of their players whose contracts run out at season's end.

Why? Simply because those players have no value the day after the season ends. This is the same reason bailing teams should only deal these types of players.

Unfortunately, too many teams misconflate dealing out-of-time players with bailing and keep these players until the ned of the season. Will the team that currently refuses to deal a $50 out-of-time (although that needn't have been written as a $50 Beltran is not a protectable player any longer) Beltran for a $1 with an additional year remaining Chris Capuano suffer immediate buyers remorse on October 1? Guaranteed.

Will Beltran finally earn the salary paid for him based on last season's stats? Not guaranteed, and given the amount of booing and subsequent reporting of that booing in the NY press, not likely.

Equally as important, could Beltran's hoped-for contribution move the standings? This is where the serious calculating must take place. If your team can afford to trade him because HR, RBI, and SB offer little more than +/- 2 points, then you should move him. If those categories are tightly bunched, maybe not.

As for dealing an easily protectable $1 Chris Capuano, so what? He could have one stinker over his final 10 starts and have worse numbers for the aquiring team than those one your team. Or you could find a way to grab the ubiquitous reliever from the free agent pool via FAAB.

From the acquring team's POV, his season-long numbers will still be attractive for $1 which will make him a bargaining chip over the long off-season. And having those are what slakes the thirst of the serious Roto player in anticipation of Spring Training 2006

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