Sunday, September 09, 2012
Saturday, September 08, 2012
I could see taking Cam Newton in the second round if he falls. For that to happen would need to have already drafted one of the elite RBs.
That means I have a top 5 pick.
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Thursday, September 06, 2012
Monday, September 03, 2012
Sunday, September 02, 2012
Friday, March 30, 2012
All prospects with Keith Law and none of the regular morning show shtick
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Tuesday, February 21, 2012
Wednesday, February 15, 2012
Wednesday, February 01, 2012
The choices at that point are "meh" and leagues are not won in the first two months of the season. To add a top 5 talent to your team on Memorial Day excites me even now.
I will guess this will be conventional fantasy wisdom by the start of Spring Training.
Monday, January 30, 2012
Evan Longoria was mentioned, and I have to agree. The difference between him and Adrian Beltre is too little. If Longoria hits less than 270, it isn't even close.
Around the 9th to 13th picks, I prefer any number of players there. I may take an ace even despite a general rule to pass on SP until the later rounds.
Friday, January 27, 2012
Player A: .308 AVG, 29 HR, 103 RBI, 8 SB 1B-eligible only
Player B: .303 AVG, 31HR, 95 RBI, 2 SB 1B- and OF-eligible.
And this comparison in a 2012 draft that rates 1B as somewhat scare albeit enormously top-heavy.
Wednesday, January 25, 2012
My immediate concern was who I would select at the turn of the 2nd and 3rd round, the 28th and 29th picks overall. Given Cabrera's expected 3B eligibility, my initial strategy was to hope one of the elite power producing 1B would be available. This would allow me to shift Cabrera to 3B in season and to start two elite 1B without cloging the Corner position.
Before the first round was over, I knew this was unlikely to come to fruition. Four of the first seven picks were firstbasemen, and a 5th -Prince Fielder - was selected at the end of the 1st round. (FWIW, all the 1B selections were made by mock drafters present at the draft.)
With Mark Teixeira going 24th, I immediately rued having the first pick as the elite outfielders, middle infielders and starting pitchers were all gone by the end of the 2nd round (28th overall selection.) This left me searching amongst all the positions for any stand out values.
There were none from my perspective, and I took OF Andrew McCutcheon and 3B Adrian Beltre. And did not like it.
The rest of the draft was a repeat of the same lack of obvious value, and I shifted to selecting players I believed will out perform current ADPs but may not last another 27 selections. This is a method I use typically in the 8th or 9th round of previous year's drafts.
At the 5th/6th round turn I grabbed C Matt Weiters and SP Stephen Strasburg. Then at 7th/8th, I took Jimmy Rollins and Lance Berkman.
In no way am I happy with my team so far. At the 9th/10th turn, I added Yu Darviush and Ryan Madsen. Then I grabbed Dustin Ackley and Jesus Montero with the hope that Montero will gain catcher-eligibility and be shifted into my second C slot. (FWIW, Ackely was the top player on the board per MDC and there were several teams on AI draft status.)
At this point in the draft (142 selections), the rest is a hodge podge of risk control i.e. production of Gaby Sanchez versus 500 ABs of Brandon Belt and high volatility i.e. Aroldis Chapman lasting as a SP. So I won't go too far into who I selected as this part of a mixed team roster is meant to be churned once the season begins.
Overall, I am unsatisfied with the #1 pick and selecting Miguel Cabrera in a deep mixed league format. Whether I can execute the two elite 1B in a 12-team draft is the next question to be answered. (Stop the BABIP regression on Mark Teixeira and maybe it will!)
Sunday, January 22, 2012
Friday, January 20, 2012
One good thing to come from Oakland's cry of "Uncle!" for the 2012 and 2013 MLB seasons is there is no one to block OF Michael Choice from reaching the majors.
Unless of course, Oakland decides to decelerate minor league development at the same pace it is doing so for its major league competitiveness.
"Laynce Nix (Land of Ys): More likely to hit in the big leagues: Michael Choice or Josh Bell? Or is picking between them a good problem to have?
Kevin Goldstein: Bell hasn't played, Choice had a really good year. There's not some massive tools difference, so you have to take Choice."
That is not viable for fantasy purposes.
Thursday, January 19, 2012
The Texas Rangers signed Yu Darvish yesterday. The most important question right now is where to draft him for the 2012 fantasy baseball season.
My guess is he goes around the time Michael Pinieda is selected. Further guessing has the hype of Darvish causing some owners to grab him a round or two earlier, but I am most comfortable with the risk/reward profile of Pinieda - good Ks, good Ws, uncertain ratios with upside.
Wednesday, January 18, 2012
I am sure this list of five is behind the Insider wall. There are good names on it but the top two suggestions are not viable for one reason (lack of major league experience) or another (super low AVG).
Let's just look internally. The team may be better off shifting Delmon Young to DH and let any number of 0-3 players wander in left field. I am thinking Andy Dirks/Ryan Raburn type of budget-aware move.
Can it be worse than Young defensively? That is the question one needs to ask before simply throwing out Johnny Damon or Carlos Pena's name as full-time DHs.
Maybe the Tigers get lucky with Ryan Strieby like they did with Brennan Boesch.
Since I have had Weiters on my AL-only team for as long as he has been available in my drafts, this ranking is the kind of information I want. It confirms everything I want to be true!
Top 20 Catchers for 2012 Fantasy Baseball
Monday, January 16, 2012
The regular ADP ranks did - overwhelmingly!
As more and more fantasy baseball content is produced for the upcoming season, I will be watching which set of ADP takes the lead.
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Sunday, January 15, 2012
The first condition would lead to a strategy of drafting particular SP earlier than prior conventional wisdom sugested as that player had the results and track record to hold value throughout the season. An example would be Roy Halladay. It would not be Zack Greinke.
If the second condition is leading reason to draft SP early i.e. two of top three picks or three of top five, then I suggest sticking to time tested drafting strategy. Take hitting early i.e. four of first five picks are hitters.
If decreased offensive production is the new rule, then those elite hitters will be much better than their alternatives. That is not particularly informative, but this next point should be.
If offense is down across the board, then there will be many SP whose numbers will be good enough to be middling in the ratios while your hitting will exceed the efforts of the SP heavy teams.
So disregarding prior draft strategies for the newest CW may not doing anything but litter your roster with middling offense that can only improved by dealing that SP.
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