Monday, December 21, 2009

More Fantasy Baseball Expert Draft Analysis

To beat again upon the drum of fantasy experts drafting as a herd. Last week's 1st expert draft at Mock Draft Central gave fantasy baseball fans everywhere their 1st look at the expected draft values of last year's players.

While I profess no less expertise than the participants, I do consider myself to have merited the moniker of fantasy expert while at Fake Teams. Do I become less of one now that I don't write for public consumption nearly as much as I previously did?

Rhetorical question or not, I do recognize the tendency of the fantasy experts to herd together in their valuations for the 2010 season. Because of that (and other reasons), I have done a mock draft on my own prior to the release of the expert valuations into the blogosphere.

Here are the five players who the experts drafted in the 1st two rounds that I chose later than the 2nd round.

1. Carl Crawford
2. David Wright
3. Grady Sizemore
4. Jacoby Ellsbury
5. Brandon Phillips
6. Joey Votto

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

RAy here-can't argue with picking them later than the 2nd round. I am baffled that Wright is still in the first two rounds. what am I missing?

IMHO said...

Not sure on Wright. His AVG/OBP stayed the same. His HR splits were 5 and 5 which means he lost power everywhere not just Citifield.

A drop to 12-15th overall would seem appropriate if his HRs had dropped from 30 to 20. Not 30 to 10.

He may deliver 25 HRs, but his 2008 power drop doesn't appear to be full reflected in his value.

IMHO said...

If Reyes and Beltran are healthy, Wright may bounce back if his drop in power and increase in Ks were a result of trying to overcompensate for the team's loss of productive players.

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