Monday, March 15, 2010

How To Value Adrian Gonzalez

MLB Trade Rumors: Padres Not Including Adrian Gonzalez in 2010 Promotion Campaign - FakeTeams:

"...appears it is a virtual certaintly that the Padres will deal star first baseman Adrian Gonzalez this season."

The season is six months long. The July 31st non-waivers deadline occurs after four months. In NL-Only formats, this gives a baseline expected value for Adrian Gonzalez of 2/3s his full season value.

While that seems certain given the info relayed on Fake Teams (no bobblehead days for AGonz or Heath Bell), the more uncertain portion is the chance AGONZ will be traded within the NL.

Add that to the 2/3s then multiple your full season value to see what you should pay at an NL-Only auction.

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