What Are the Phillies Thinking? | FanGraphs Baseball:
"In other words, Howard will need six seasons that were better than his 2009 season, except over his 32-37 years. I’m not sure I would lay even money on him achieving even half of that. This contract is both incredibly risky and unnecessary since Howard was already signed through 2011. Say hello to baseball’s newest worst contract."
I'm not a big fan of paying top dollars for extensions that don't kick in for years. That is an enormous risk!