Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Day 74 And Counting

After doing my rankings based on three-year weighted averages, I did them for just 2007 and compared the two. One of the more interesting results was the improvement of Adam Dunn.

Everyone knows Dunn is good for 40 HRs and 100 RBIs every season, but his average has alwasy been a drag on his overall value. Using a three-year rank, he is still a Top 100 hitter albeit just barely (98th).

However, he was 39th amongst hitters in 2007. Why? He managed to raise his AVG from the .240 area to .264.

The question fantasy players need to ask is whether Dunn will hit that high again. Regardless of the answer, the perception of Dunn as a horrendous AVG contributor will keep his draft value lower than it would be if he actually hit .265 again.

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