BP: Pitchers who will surprise (and disappoint) in 2010

MLB -- BP: Pitchers who will surprise (and disappoint) in 2010 - ESPN:

"Cain teamed with Tim Lincecum to form a dominant duo atop the Giants' rotation last season, but while Tiny Tim was every bit as good as his ERA suggested, Cain relied on above-average success with stranding baserunners to beautify his mark. Like Happ, he had an unsustainable .161 average against with runners in scoring position, and though he reduced his walks from 3.8 BB/9 to 3.0, his true talent likely lies somewhere between last year's 2.89 and the 3.76 ERA he posted the year before."

These use Baseball Prospectus' new ERA predictor, SIERA.