Thursday, November 05, 2009

Spreadsheet Smarties Or Real Life

Teahen To The White Sox | FanGraphs Baseball:

"The two players Moore got back from KC aren’t franchise changers – they’re just useful parts to have around in spring training when putting a roster together. Teahen is just not someone that should be making significant money, and given his arbitration status, he’s basically a non-value asset. The White Sox could have acquired a similar or better player by just spending the $5 million they’ll give him in free agency without sacrificing any talent."

I just can't help thinking the value of major league average performer is harder to attain than the spreadsheet smarties think. The spreadsheet smarties have no conceptualization of the selection bias necessary to perform at league average.

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