Tuesday, May 31, 2005

Bailing III

The first bail trade has likely occurred, and it was sure to raise the ire of multiple owners who believe the bailing team didn't get enough.

This is irrefutable fact, and owners must focus on what to do next. As I wrote here, you must determine whether your top bail piece is worthy of the bailing team's 2nd, 3rd or 4th best available player.

You must also recognize that other teams will bail. These teams will see (hopefully) the best cheap 2006 players come off the board and want to make sure they do not miss out the the next best. They may hastily determine their chances for a money finish are less than those of getting a still very high quality 2006 player ot two. (I'm sure their is some behavorial psychology study that demonstrates this perception to be false, but I am not aware of it.)

With this in mind, hold off a trade with the initial bailer unless it fits as well as your first offer. There will be more opportunities.







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