Wednesday, May 18, 2005

Eric Bedard

He looks like a legitmate break-out candidate. All his numbers are great, and he was a highly-regarded prospect rpior to elbow surgery a couple years ago.

The question is whether he is going to be helpful in August and September as his workload the past few seasons has been very low.

My hunch is that he will fade, as will the Orioles. What this means is his 2005 numbers will be good but his splits (pre-traded for and post-traded for) will only benefit the team that traded him.

If Bedard has no time left on his contract, then I would not pay-up for his current numbers as his performance going forward will not match his previous one. His trade value in August will also diminish as he will be out of time at season's end.

However, if he has time left on his contract for 2006 forward then paying-up for him may be a wise idea as he will still retain good trade value in August even if his numbers begin to worsen.

All said, he should be veiwed as legitmate with the above caveats when trying to acquire him.

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