To follow-up on the posts of the previous couple days, Ryan Langerhans has broken out.
For the first five weeks, he did nothing. Not only that, but Bobby Cox played Pete Orr in the OF. This clearly indicated that the Spring Training hype around Langerhans was misplaced.
No sooner does a Roto team make that conclusion than Langerhans breaks out with 4 HR and 10 RBI. Now he has legitimate Roto value again.
What this shows is how quickly a player can go from worthlessness for 2005 to value for 2005 and 2006.
(This is essentially an issue of levergae. When one HR in a quarter of the season projects to four HR for the season, you have leverage of 4X.
The opposite occurs once you pass the halk-way point. Then a HR will only be worth less than one additional one over the rest of the season. From here, a player has a very difficult time recapturing 2005 value.)
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