Monday, May 16, 2005

Jason Giambi

The Yankee organization is doing all it can to destroy him. The press is ready to cast everything he does in a negative light (with instigation from Tampa.)

What this means is there nowhere for Giambi to go but out of the Bronx.

While other experts may say he is done, I am going to withhold judgment until I see signs that other teams are no longer afraid of him. The key will be the number of walks Giambi receives. As long as he gets four balls per AB, other teams are saying he is still someone to be feared.

When he stops walking, in combination with getting no hits, then I will say he is done. This will indicate that other teams no longer fear him and will throw him strikes with impunity.

Until that occurs, I will go so far as to say Giambi is a great buy-low candidate. As he will be gone from the Bronz and likely to land at the other end of the scrutiny continuum (TB, KC, OAK), he will play with a much lesser degree of scrutiny.

This will lead to better results, and I suspect he will fall into a .260-.280 AVG with a .400 OBP and .500+ SLG.

No comments: