Over at Rotoauthority, there is quite a debate going on about Tim's projection for Jeremy Hermida that has gotten into a scrap about how much better David Wright is than, reading the hyperbole correctly, every player in the whole frickin' world!
My hyperbole aside, a comparison of two based on their professional career is useful.
David Wright is one year older so a fair compariosn would be Hermida's 2006 vs Wright's 2005 season. If JH comes close to Wright's 2005 performance (27/102/17 .388/.523), then JH will be better. That, however, is quite a bar to reach.
Wright has also been the better player from day one of their repsective careers. His HR totals progressed from 4 to 11 ot 15 to 32 to 27. Hermida's are lower starting at 0 to 6 to 10 to 22 to ??? in his year 22 season.
Hermida does appear to have more patience at the plate as demonstrated by the 117 walks he took last season. Wright's walk totals are not bad but come nowhere close to 100. He could increase though as pitcher's begin to respect his ability more and more.
Hermida's walk total is eye-popping considering he accumulated that with only 427 official ABs. Wright has accomplished his offensive feats with 575 ABs last season and 600 the year before. Based on this, I can see Hermida approaching Wright's power levels if he progresses at the same rate he has in the minors. Hermida also appears to be a much smarter base runner than Wright being caught just 10 times in 77 attempts compared to Wright's 25 times in 112 attempts.
While Wright is certainly the better player right now, I would not be surprised to see Hermida match him and be relatively better value in Rotisserie baseball.
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