If you think the gaping holes at SS and CF in Boston make Roto-evaluation tricky, the stay away from Tampa Bay. With RF Aubrey Huff, SS Julio Lugo and CL Danys Baez in trade rumors of one kind or another every single day, important Roto decisons are delayed.
Lugo stole 34 bases last season. That would make him a solid $20+ player. If he is dealt, then BJ Upton gets a shot and will be amongst the most hyped players in Spring Training. This would lead his draft price into the $20s - way over-priced in my book.
Aubrey Huff is a "veteran sleeper". If he is traded, a spot opens for Joey Gathwright to hit everyday, and, if that ever happens, he will be a 50+ SB player which makes him a $30+ Roto player. If Huff isn't traded, Gaithwright will still command a lot of draft day attention and likely go in the mid-teens - too high for 2006 but a decent play on 2007.
Danys Baez is the closer, and a good one in 2005. If he isn't dealt prior to draft day, then he will be in trade rumors the minute a play-off contending team's closer blows his first save, This will damp down his draft day price, but also his in-season Roto trade value. Who is going to pay the price to get a closer via trade when he could be dealt to the NL?
Picking through the TB bullpen is vital and will result in a great bargain for the team that gets lucky enough to land the successor to Baez. The top contenders are Chad Orvella, Lance Carter and Jesus Colome. Of them, the only one not to either have previously closed (Carter) or been hyped as the future closer for this entire century (Colome) is Orvella, who took on the future closer tag last year. I do not like any of them, but would think Carter would get the first shot because he has done it before.
That is an admittedly weak reason, but I do not know what is going on in Tampa. I had thought prior GM Chuck Lamar was the problem, but apparently, he was not. The current management appears to be just as idiotic - assuming you believe they should trade any of their impending 2006 free agents.
Maybe they should just keep them? Hmmmmmmm, that is an intersting shift in thinking.
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