Edgar Renteria

�dgar Renter�a - Atlanta Braves - MLB - Yahoo! Sports

When a player comes off a bad year, the default forecast for the following season is somewhere between the stinker and the season prior.

On XM Radio's Fantasy Forecast, I heard this default option used to guesstimate Edgar Renteria's 2006 season.

Tell me if this was a lazy answer or one aptly done.

2006:
.276 AVG 8 HR 70 RBI 9 SB

2005:
.287 AVG 10HR 72 RBI 17SB

Let's look at 2004 while we are at it

.330 AVG 13HR 100RBI 34SB

Three consecutive seasons of declining numbers made me check his age. He is only 30 years old. And I thought Bernie Williams aged poorly!

Back to the 2006 forecast of something between 2004 and 2005. It was just laziness. Other than SB, the seasons were nearly identical. A couple lucky breaks gets Renteria to his 2004 numbers.

More importantly, one should not expect too much of a bounce back. He is what he is - a .280ish hitter with 10 HR potential and low double digit steals potential. He is an $8 player.

Don't want to believe it? Compare this player to Edgar and say otherwise.