Monday, February 13, 2006

NL OF

Atlanta Braves: Ryan Langerhans/Andruw Jones/Jeff Francoeur
NY Mets: Cliff Floyd/Carlos Beltran/Xavier Nady
Wash. Nats: Ryan Church/Jose Guillen/Soriano
Phillies: Pat Burrell/Aaron Rowand/Bobby Abreu
Marlins: Jeremy Hermida/Eric Reed/Mark Little/Reggie Abercrombie/Matt Cepicky

Cardinals: Larry Bigbie/Jim Edmonds/Juan Encarnacion
Cubs: Matt Murton/Juan Pierre/Jacques Jones
Astros: Preston Wilson/Wily Tavares/Jason Lane
Pirates: Jeromy Burnitz/Chris Duffy/Jason Bay
Brewers: Carlos Lee/Brady Clark/Geoff Jenkins
Reds: Willy Mo Pena/Ken Griffey/Austin Kearns

Giants: Barry Bonds/Randy Winn/Moises Alou
Rockies: Matt Holliday/Cory Sullivan/Brad Hawpe
Dodgers: Juan Cruz/Kenny Loften/JD Drew
Padres: Dave Roberts/Mike Cameron/Brian Giles
Diamondbacks: Luis Gonzalez/Eric Byrnes/Shawn Green

I had wanted to leave the Marlins OF populated by Jeremy Hermida alone to demonstrate just how obvious it is that Miguel Cabrera should stay there and let David Wright be the undisputed top Rotisserie 3B. But decided listing those additional four players accomplishes the same task.!

I could have also decided to write-up any number of 4th OF/plattonmates such as Kelly Johnson, Victor Diaz (local papers keep reporting Nady as getting the best shot. I disagree.), Marlon Byrd, Shane Victorino, John Rodriguez, Chris Burke, Corey Hart, Chris Denorfia, Steve Finley, Ryan Shealy, Ben Johnson (here), Jeff Davanon, but I chose against that course of action.

I want to talk about the four shlubs listed on the same line as ROY favorite (and I did not forget Prince Fielder this time) Jeremy Hermida.

The most attractive is Eric Reed - a 25-year-old OF who stole 40 bases in 55 attempts last season between AA and AAA. That is all any Roto player needs to know to launch Reed to the top of the hopeful list. I have a caution though. He walked 20 times in 442 ABs while striking out 93 times. I can't expect him to hit.

Reggie Abercrombie appears to be Eric Reed with power. He is 25 and hit 25 HR and stole 26 bases between High A and AA with 25 walks and 127 strikeouts in 477 ABs. Normally, that partial performance at a lower level would leave Reggie off this list, but given the state of the Marlin's OF, I feel comfortable putting him in here.

Matt Cepicky is a scrapper who has spent the past four seasons shuttling between the majors and minors. He had a wee bit of power in AAA (14 and 15 HRs the past two seasons) but it was in the Pacific Coast League. I'd be surprised to see much in the majors.

Chris Aguila has spent the past two seasons doing the same, but his AAA performance is much stronger - 1.042 OPS last season and OPSs near .900 the prior two. He has no speed, but I can see him holding a roster spot all season. In 300 ABs, he could add 10 HR and 40 RBI to your team. If his AVG stays in the .260 area, those numbers could increase.

The sleeper to watch in the Marlins OF is Mark Little. Most of us remember him from his Colorado Rockie days in 2001 when he hit 3 HR and stole 5 bases. He has bounced around a lot since - Arizona, Mets, back to Colorado, back to Arizona, Cleveland, back to Arizona, back to Cleveland and finally landing in Florida.

He had a decent season in AAA last year - 18 HR and 16 SB, and I believe he will scrap his way to low double digit HR and SB with the opportunity presenting itself in Florida. With a new manager, Joe Girardi, known for his hard work, I believe Mark Little's 15 minutes have arrived. I may want nothing to do with him in 2007, but for 2006, he is a good $1 flyer.

All said the Marlins OF line should read:

Mark Little/Chris Aguila/Jeremy Hermida with most Roto players subbing Eric Reed in there for Mark Little.

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